Value Assessment
Home Win
4.01
33% pred
+8.5%
VALUE
Draw
3.85
24% pred
-2.0%
Away Win
1.79
43% pred
-13.3%
BTTS Yes
1.56
49%
BTTS No
2.32
39%
Key Insights
Streak Watch
Excelsior without a win in 5 games (4 draws, 1 losses) - struggling for results
High impactAway Specialist
Ajax exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)
Medium impactHigh Scoring
Ajax involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
Ajax matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactTop Scorer
Ajax has Mika Godts ranked #4 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Feb 1 2026
·
11:15
Venue
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
(Rotterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
21
Coaches
Ruben den Uil
Excelsior
Fred Grim
Ajax
Referee
Marc Nagtegaal
Recent Form
Excelsior
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
L
H
FC Groningen
0-2
FC Groningen
0-2
W
H
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
L
H
FC Groningen
0-2
FC Groningen
0-2
W
H
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
W
A
Ajax
2-1
Ajax
2-1
D
A
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
0W 4D 1L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
Ajax
3W 2D 0L
2.6 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
W
A
Telstar
3-2
Telstar
3-2
D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
W
A
Qarabağ
4-2
Qarabağ
4-2
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
W
H
Feyenoord
2-0
Feyenoord
2-0
W
H
FC Groningen
2-0
FC Groningen
2-0
3W 2D 0L
2.6 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
W
A
Telstar
3-2
Telstar
3-2
D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
W
A
Qarabağ
4-2
Qarabağ
4-2
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Sidelined Players
Excelsior
1 out
Zach Booth
injury
Ajax
4 out
Kian Fitz-Jim
injury
Oscar Gloukh
injury
Lucas Rosa
injury
Owen Wijndal
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Excelsior
1
10%
Draws
3
30%
Ajax
6
60%
Avg Goals
5.1
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
Excelsior have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Ajax in recent meetings.