Value Assessment
Home Win
2.41
27% pred
-14.2%
Draw
3.35
24% pred
-6.0%
Away Win
2.83
49% pred
+13.5%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.68
53%
BTTS No
2.10
43%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.83
+13.5% edge
49% probability
Expected value: +0.38 units per bet
Confidence
High
79%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026
·
20:30
Venue
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
(Estoril)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
19
Coaches
Ian Cathro
Estoril
Luís Correia Pinto
Vitória Guimarães
Referee
Fabio Verssimo
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Estoril
3W 2D 0L
2.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D
H
Tondela
2-2
Tondela
2-2
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
W
H
Alverca
4-1
Alverca
4-1
W
H
Sporting Braga
1-0
Sporting Braga
1-0
D
H
Moreirense
3-3
Moreirense
3-3
3W 2D 0L
2.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D
H
Tondela
2-2
Tondela
2-2
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
W
H
Alverca
4-1
Alverca
4-1
W
H
Sporting Braga
1-0
Sporting Braga
1-0
D
H
Moreirense
3-3
Moreirense
3-3
2W 0D 3L
2 GF · 2 GA
W
A
Santa Clara
4-2
Santa Clara
4-2
W
A
Estrela Amadora
5-0
Estrela Amadora
5-0
L
A
Benfica
1-3
Benfica
1-3
L
A
Famalicão
0-4
Famalicão
0-4
L
A
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
3W 1D 1L
3.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
Tondela
2-2
Tondela
2-2
W
A
Santa Clara
4-2
Santa Clara
4-2
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
W
A
Estrela Amadora
5-0
Estrela Amadora
5-0
L
A
Benfica
1-3
Benfica
1-3
Vitória Guimarães
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
D
A
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
A
Rio Ave
1-0
Rio Ave
1-0
W
A
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
L
H
Sporting CP
1-4
Sporting CP
1-4
D
H
Gil Vicente
0-0
Gil Vicente
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
D
A
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
A
Rio Ave
1-0
Rio Ave
1-0
W
A
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
Sidelined Players
Estoril
1 out
Xeka
injury
Vitória Guimarães
1 out
Óscar Rivas
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Estoril
2
20%
Draws
1
10%
Vitória Guimarães
7
70%
Avg Goals
2.8
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
The head-to-head favors Vitória Guimarães in recent meetings.