Value Assessment
Home Win
6.66
18% pred
+3.3%
MARGINAL
Draw
5.13
27% pred
+7.6%
VALUE
Away Win
1.40
55% pred
-16.8%
BTTS Yes
1.67
48%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
5.13
+7.6% edge
27% probability
Expected value: +0.39 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
72%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 23 2025
·
20:00
Venue
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
(Elche)
Competition
La Liga
·
13
Coaches
Eder Sarabia Armesto
Elche
Arbeloa
Real Madrid
Referee
Francisco José Hernández Maeso
Recent Form
Elche
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
FC Barcelona
1-3
FC Barcelona
1-3
D
H
Sevilla
2-2
Sevilla
2-2
L
H
Villarreal
1-3
Villarreal
1-3
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
4-0
Rayo Vallecano
4-0
W
H
Girona
3-0
Girona
3-0
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
FC Barcelona
1-3
FC Barcelona
1-3
D
H
Sevilla
2-2
Sevilla
2-2
L
H
Villarreal
1-3
Villarreal
1-3
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
4-0
Rayo Vallecano
4-0
W
H
Girona
3-0
Girona
3-0
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Levante
2-3
Levante
2-3
L
A
Real Betis
1-2
Real Betis
1-2
D
A
Valencia
1-1
Valencia
1-1
W
A
SD Eibar
1-0
SD Eibar
1-0
L
A
Mallorca
1-3
Mallorca
1-3
0W 2D 3L
1.4 GF · 2.2 GA
L
H
FC Barcelona
1-3
FC Barcelona
1-3
L
A
Levante
2-3
Levante
2-3
D
H
Sevilla
2-2
Sevilla
2-2
L
A
Real Betis
1-2
Real Betis
1-2
D
A
Valencia
1-1
Valencia
1-1
Real Madrid
3W 0D 2L
2.2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
L
A
Albacete
2-3
Albacete
2-3
W
A
Talavera CF
3-2
Talavera CF
3-2
W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2-1
Deportivo Alavés
2-1
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
W
H
Real Betis
5-1
Real Betis
5-1
W
H
Sevilla
2-0
Sevilla
2-0
3W 0D 2L
2.2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
L
A
Albacete
2-3
Albacete
2-3
W
A
Talavera CF
3-2
Talavera CF
3-2
W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2-1
Deportivo Alavés
2-1
4W 0D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
Sidelined Players
Elche
2 out
Héctor Fort
injury
Rafa Mir
injury
Real Madrid
5 out
Rodrygo
suspended
Raúl Asencio
suspended
Éder Militão
injury
Ferland Mendy
injury
Antonio Rüdiger
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Elche
0
0%
Draws
3
30%
Real Madrid
7
70%
Avg Goals
3.4
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Elche have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Real Madrid arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Real Madrid in recent meetings.