Value Assessment
Home Win
7.03
26% pred
+12.0%
VALUE
Draw
4.22
19% pred
-4.3%
Away Win
1.44
54% pred
-15.0%
BTTS Yes
2.05
53%
MARGINAL
BTTS No
1.71
42%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
7.03
+12.0% edge
26% probability
Expected value: +0.84 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
64%
Key Insights
Title Race
Hearts leading the table - high motivation to maintain position
High impactRelegation Zone
Dundee in position 9 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026
·
14:00
Venue
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
(Dundee)
Competition
Premiership
·
22
Coaches
Steven Pressley
Dundee
Derek McInnes
Hearts
Referee
Ryan Lee
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Dundee
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Hearts
0-1
Hearts
0-1
W
H
Kilmarnock
2-1
Kilmarnock
2-1
W
H
Falkirk
1-0
Falkirk
1-0
L
H
Aberdeen
1-3
Aberdeen
1-3
W
H
St. Mirren
3-1
St. Mirren
3-1
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Hearts
0-1
Hearts
0-1
W
H
Kilmarnock
2-1
Kilmarnock
2-1
W
H
Falkirk
1-0
Falkirk
1-0
L
H
Aberdeen
1-3
Aberdeen
1-3
W
H
St. Mirren
3-1
St. Mirren
3-1
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
St. Mirren
0-0
St. Mirren
0-0
L
A
Rangers
0-3
Rangers
0-3
W
A
Dundee United
1-0
Dundee United
1-0
L
A
Motherwell
0-1
Motherwell
0-1
D
A
Livingston
2-2
Livingston
2-2
2W 1D 2L
0.6 GF · 1 GA
D
A
St. Mirren
0-0
St. Mirren
0-0
L
A
Rangers
0-3
Rangers
0-3
L
H
Hearts
0-1
Hearts
0-1
W
A
Dundee United
1-0
Dundee United
1-0
W
H
Kilmarnock
2-1
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hearts
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L
A
St. Mirren
0-1
St. Mirren
0-1
W
A
Dundee United
3-0
Dundee United
3-0
W
A
Dundee
1-0
Dundee
1-0
L
A
Hibernian
2-3
Hibernian
2-3
W
A
Falkirk
2-0
Falkirk
2-0
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D
H
Celtic
2-2
Celtic
2-2
W
H
St. Mirren
2-0
St. Mirren
2-0
W
H
Livingston
1-0
Livingston
1-0
W
H
Rangers
2-1
Rangers
2-1
D
H
Kilmarnock
1-1
Kilmarnock
1-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L
A
St. Mirren
0-1
St. Mirren
0-1
W
A
Dundee United
3-0
Dundee United
3-0
W
A
Dundee
1-0
Dundee
1-0
L
A
Hibernian
2-3
Hibernian
2-3
W
A
Falkirk
2-0
Falkirk
2-0
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
St. Mirren
0-1
St. Mirren
0-1
W
A
Dundee United
3-0
Dundee United
3-0
D
H
Celtic
2-2
Celtic
2-2
W
H
St. Mirren
2-0
St. Mirren
2-0
W
A
Dundee
1-0
Dundee
1-0
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Dundee
3
30%
Draws
0
0%
Hearts
7
70%
Avg Goals
3.2
BTTS
30%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%
Final Words
The head-to-head favors Hearts in recent meetings.