Just Football Predictions

Derby County vs Middlesbrough

Full Time
Championship Pride Park Stadium
Derby County

Derby County

1
-
0
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Value Assessment Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.05
29% pred
-3.8%
Draw
3.24
29% pred
-2.1%
Away Win
2.32
42% pred
-0.9%
BTTS Yes 1.85 47%
BTTS No

Match Info

Kickoff
Thu, Jan 1 2026 · 15:00
Venue
Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Competition
Championship · 25
Coaches
John Eustace
John Eustace
Derby County
Kim Hellberg
Kim Hellberg
Middlesbrough
Referee
Ruebyn Ricardo Ruebyn Ricardo
Related Coverage
League season story Derby County form report Middlesbrough form report

Recent Form

Derby County Derby County
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
L H Leeds United Leeds United 1-3
L H Wrexham Wrexham 1-2
W H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
L H Leeds United Leeds United 1-3
L H Wrexham Wrexham 1-2
W H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
L A Leicester City Leicester City 1-2
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1
W A Stoke City Stoke City 2-1
W A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 3-2
L A Fulham Fulham 1-3
L A Derby County Derby County 0-1
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.2 GA
W H Norwich City Norwich City 1-0
W H Preston North End Preston North End 4-0
W H Southampton Southampton 4-0
L H Hull City Hull City 0-1
D H Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-0
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1
W A Stoke City Stoke City 2-1
W A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 3-2
L A Fulham Fulham 1-3
L A Derby County Derby County 0-1
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1
W H Norwich City Norwich City 1-0
W H Preston North End Preston North End 4-0
W A Stoke City Stoke City 2-1
W A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 3-2

Sidelined Players

Derby County Derby County 4 out
Lewis Travis
Lewis Travis
suspended
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Jacob Widell Zetterström
injury
Sondre Langås
Sondre Langås
injury
Carlton Morris
Carlton Morris
injury
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2 out
David Strelec
David Strelec
injury
Darragh Lenihan
Darragh Lenihan
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Derby County
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Middlesbrough
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.3
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

Middlesbrough arrive in strong form with 5 wins from 5 games.