Value Assessment
Home Win
4.82
31% pred
+10.4%
VALUE
Draw
3.63
25% pred
-2.9%
Away Win
1.68
44% pred
-15.3%
BTTS Yes
1.91
43%
BTTS No
1.82
50%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026
·
12:00
Venue
Pride Park Stadium
(Derby)
Competition
FA Cup
·
Round 3
Coaches
John Eustace
Derby County
Daniel Farke
Leeds United
Referee
Anthony Taylor
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Derby County
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Ipswich Town
1-2
Ipswich Town
1-2
D
H
West Bromwich Albion
1-1
West Bromwich Albion
1-1
L
H
Leeds United
1-3
Leeds United
1-3
L
H
Wrexham
1-2
Wrexham
1-2
W
H
Middlesbrough
1-0
Middlesbrough
1-0
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Ipswich Town
1-2
Ipswich Town
1-2
D
H
West Bromwich Albion
1-1
West Bromwich Albion
1-1
L
H
Leeds United
1-3
Leeds United
1-3
L
H
Wrexham
1-2
Wrexham
1-2
W
H
Middlesbrough
1-0
Middlesbrough
1-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Bristol City
5-0
Bristol City
5-0
W
A
Charlton Athletic
2-1
Charlton Athletic
2-1
W
A
Preston North End
1-0
Preston North End
1-0
L
A
Leicester City
1-2
Leicester City
1-2
D
A
Birmingham City
1-1
Birmingham City
1-1
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Ipswich Town
1-2
Ipswich Town
1-2
W
A
Bristol City
5-0
Bristol City
5-0
D
H
West Bromwich Albion
1-1
West Bromwich Albion
1-1
W
A
Charlton Athletic
2-1
Charlton Athletic
2-1
W
A
Preston North End
1-0
Preston North End
1-0
Leeds United
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
L
A
Newcastle United
3-4
Newcastle United
3-4
D
A
Liverpool
0-0
Liverpool
0-0
D
A
Sunderland
1-1
Sunderland
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Nottingham Forest
3-1
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
D
H
Manchester United
1-1
Manchester United
1-1
W
H
Crystal Palace
4-1
Crystal Palace
4-1
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
L
A
Newcastle United
3-4
Newcastle United
3-4
D
A
Liverpool
0-0
Liverpool
0-0
D
A
Sunderland
1-1
Sunderland
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Nottingham Forest
3-1
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
Sidelined Players
Derby County
4 out
Lewis Travis
suspended
Jacob Widell Zetterström
injury
Sondre Langås
injury
Carlton Morris
injury
Leeds United
3 out
Daniel James
injury
Anton Stach
injury
Pascal Struijk
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Derby County
1
10%
Draws
2
20%
Leeds United
7
70%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
44%
LOW
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.3
HIGH
Draw Rate
18%
BTTS
57%
Over 2.5
64%
Final Words
The head-to-head favors Leeds United in recent meetings.