Value Assessment
Home Win
2.39
27% pred
-15.1%
Draw
2.94
22% pred
-12.3%
Away Win
3.23
52% pred
+20.6%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.09
45%
BTTS No
1.69
51%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.23
+20.6% edge
52% probability
Expected value: +0.66 units per bet
Confidence
High
80%
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 14 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Estadio de Mendizorroza
(Gasteiz)
Competition
Copa Del Rey
·
8th Finals
Coaches
Eduardo Coudet
Deportivo Alavés
Iñigo Pérez
Rayo Vallecano
Referee
Francisco José Hernández Maeso
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Deportivo Alavés
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Getafe
0-2
Getafe
0-2
L
H
Real Sociedad
2-3
Real Sociedad
2-3
W
H
Real Betis
2-1
Real Betis
2-1
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
D
H
Real Oviedo
1-1
Real Oviedo
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Getafe
0-2
Getafe
0-2
L
H
Real Sociedad
2-3
Real Sociedad
2-3
W
H
Real Betis
2-1
Real Betis
2-1
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
D
H
Real Oviedo
1-1
Real Oviedo
1-1
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Espanyol
2-1
Espanyol
2-1
L
A
Atlético Madrid
0-1
Atlético Madrid
0-1
L
A
Villarreal
1-3
Villarreal
1-3
L
A
Osasuna
0-3
Osasuna
0-3
W
A
Portugalete
3-0
Portugalete
3-0
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Getafe
0-2
Getafe
0-2
L
H
Real Sociedad
2-3
Real Sociedad
2-3
W
A
Espanyol
2-1
Espanyol
2-1
W
H
Real Betis
2-1
Real Betis
2-1
L
A
Atlético Madrid
0-1
Atlético Madrid
0-1
Rayo Vallecano
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
L
A
Real Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid
1-2
L
A
Celta de Vigo
0-3
Celta de Vigo
0-3
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
W
A
Granada
3-1
Granada
3-1
L
A
Elche
0-4
Elche
0-4
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Osasuna
1-3
Osasuna
1-3
W
H
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
H
Drita
3-0
Drita
3-0
D
H
Real Betis
0-0
Real Betis
0-0
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
L
A
Real Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid
1-2
L
A
Celta de Vigo
0-3
Celta de Vigo
0-3
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
W
A
Granada
3-1
Granada
3-1
L
A
Elche
0-4
Elche
0-4
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Real Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid
1-2
L
H
Osasuna
1-3
Osasuna
1-3
L
A
Celta de Vigo
0-3
Celta de Vigo
0-3
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
W
H
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
Sidelined Players
Deportivo Alavés
2 out
Joan Jordán
injury
Antonio Sivera
injury
Rayo Vallecano
1 out
Joni Montiel
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Deportivo Alavés
4
40%
Draws
0
0%
Rayo Vallecano
6
60%
Avg Goals
1.9
BTTS
10%
League Signals
Predictability
65%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
-28%
WEAK
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
9%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
Rayo Vallecano have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.