Value Assessment
Home Win
3.05
25% pred
-8.1%
Draw
3.15
28% pred
-3.5%
Away Win
2.44
47% pred
+6.0%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.76
45%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.44
+6.0% edge
47% probability
Expected value: +0.15 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
71%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 30 2025
·
16:30
Venue
Stamford Bridge
(London)
Competition
Premier League
·
13
Coaches
Liam Rosenior
Chelsea
Mikel Arteta
Arsenal
Referee
Anthony Taylor
Recent Form
Chelsea
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
West Ham United
3-2
West Ham United
3-2
W
H
Pafos FC
1-0
Pafos FC
1-0
W
H
Brentford
2-0
Brentford
2-0
L
H
Arsenal
2-3
Arsenal
2-3
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
2-2
AFC Bournemouth
2-2
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
West Ham United
3-2
West Ham United
3-2
W
H
Pafos FC
1-0
Pafos FC
1-0
W
H
Brentford
2-0
Brentford
2-0
L
H
Arsenal
2-3
Arsenal
2-3
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
2-2
AFC Bournemouth
2-2
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Arsenal
0-1
Arsenal
0-1
W
A
Napoli
3-2
Napoli
3-2
W
A
Crystal Palace
3-1
Crystal Palace
3-1
W
A
Charlton Athletic
5-1
Charlton Athletic
5-1
L
A
Fulham
1-2
Fulham
1-2
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Arsenal
0-1
Arsenal
0-1
W
H
West Ham United
3-2
West Ham United
3-2
W
A
Napoli
3-2
Napoli
3-2
W
A
Crystal Palace
3-1
Crystal Palace
3-1
W
H
Pafos FC
1-0
Pafos FC
1-0
Arsenal
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Leeds United
4-0
Leeds United
4-0
W
A
Inter
3-1
Inter
3-1
D
A
Nottingham Forest
0-0
Nottingham Forest
0-0
W
A
Chelsea
3-2
Chelsea
3-2
W
A
Portsmouth
4-1
Portsmouth
4-1
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Chelsea
1-0
Chelsea
1-0
W
H
Kairat
3-2
Kairat
3-2
L
H
Manchester United
2-3
Manchester United
2-3
D
H
Liverpool
0-0
Liverpool
0-0
W
H
Aston Villa
4-1
Aston Villa
4-1
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Leeds United
4-0
Leeds United
4-0
W
A
Inter
3-1
Inter
3-1
D
A
Nottingham Forest
0-0
Nottingham Forest
0-0
W
A
Chelsea
3-2
Chelsea
3-2
W
A
Portsmouth
4-1
Portsmouth
4-1
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Chelsea
1-0
Chelsea
1-0
W
A
Leeds United
4-0
Leeds United
4-0
W
H
Kairat
3-2
Kairat
3-2
L
H
Manchester United
2-3
Manchester United
2-3
W
A
Inter
3-1
Inter
3-1
Sidelined Players
Chelsea
10 out
Dário Essugo
injury
Omari Kellyman
injury
Mykhaylo Mudryk
suspended
João Félix
injury
Jamie Gittens
injury
+5 more
Arsenal
3 out
Mikel Merino
injury
Bukayo Saka
injury
Max Dowman
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Chelsea
0
0%
Draws
3
30%
Arsenal
7
70%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
45%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Chelsea enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Arsenal arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Arsenal in recent meetings.