Value Assessment
Home Win
1.90
35% pred
-17.8%
Draw
3.32
34% pred
+4.2%
MARGINAL
Away Win
4.34
31% pred
+7.9%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.93
51%
BTTS No
1.83
44%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.34
+7.9% edge
31% probability
Expected value: +0.34 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
72%
Key Insights
European Race
Celta de Vigo in position 7 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactRotation Risk
Celta de Vigo has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactStreak Watch
Celta de Vigo unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 18 2026
·
17:30
Venue
Estadio de Balaídos
(Vigo)
Competition
La Liga
·
20
Coaches
Claudio Giráldez
Celta de Vigo
Iñigo Pérez
Rayo Vallecano
Referee
Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Celta de Vigo
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Osasuna
1-2
Osasuna
1-2
W
H
LOSC Lille
2-1
LOSC Lille
2-1
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
3-0
W
H
Valencia
4-1
Valencia
4-1
W
H
Athletic Club
2-0
Athletic Club
2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Osasuna
1-2
Osasuna
1-2
W
H
LOSC Lille
2-1
LOSC Lille
2-1
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
3-0
W
H
Valencia
4-1
Valencia
4-1
W
H
Athletic Club
2-0
Athletic Club
2-0
1W 3D 1L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Getafe
0-0
Getafe
0-0
D
A
Crvena Zvezda
1-1
Crvena Zvezda
1-1
L
A
Real Sociedad
1-3
Real Sociedad
1-3
W
A
Sevilla
1-0
Sevilla
1-0
D
A
Real Oviedo
0-0
Real Oviedo
0-0
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Osasuna
1-2
Osasuna
1-2
D
A
Getafe
0-0
Getafe
0-0
D
A
Crvena Zvezda
1-1
Crvena Zvezda
1-1
L
A
Real Sociedad
1-3
Real Sociedad
1-3
W
H
LOSC Lille
2-1
LOSC Lille
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
L
A
Real Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid
1-2
L
A
Celta de Vigo
0-3
Celta de Vigo
0-3
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
W
A
Granada
3-1
Granada
3-1
L
A
Elche
0-4
Elche
0-4
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Osasuna
1-3
Osasuna
1-3
W
H
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
H
Drita
3-0
Drita
3-0
D
H
Real Betis
0-0
Real Betis
0-0
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
L
A
Real Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid
1-2
L
A
Celta de Vigo
0-3
Celta de Vigo
0-3
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
W
A
Granada
3-1
Granada
3-1
L
A
Elche
0-4
Elche
0-4
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Real Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid
1-2
L
H
Osasuna
1-3
Osasuna
1-3
L
A
Celta de Vigo
0-3
Celta de Vigo
0-3
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
W
H
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
Sidelined Players
Celta de Vigo
2 out
Fer López
injury
Óscar Mingueza
suspension
Rayo Vallecano
1 out
Joni Montiel
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Celta de Vigo
3
30%
Draws
5
50%
Rayo Vallecano
2
20%
Avg Goals
1.6
BTTS
30%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Celta de Vigo have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Rayo Vallecano have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.