Value Assessment
Home Win
2.92
24% pred
-9.9%
Draw
3.04
30% pred
-2.4%
Away Win
2.54
45% pred
+5.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.00
48%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.54
+5.8% edge
45% probability
Expected value: +0.15 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
72%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Dec 28 2025
·
15:30
Venue
Campo do Cevadeiro
(Vila Franca de Xira)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
16
Coaches
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco
Casa Pia
Luís Correia Pinto
Vitória Guimarães
Referee
Luís Carlos Mateus Filipe
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Casa Pia
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
D
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
D
H
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
L
H
Alverca
0-2
Alverca
0-2
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
D
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
D
H
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
L
H
Alverca
0-2
Alverca
0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
W
A
Tondela
2-1
Tondela
2-1
L
A
Santa Clara
0-1
Santa Clara
0-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
Vitória Guimarães
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
D
A
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
A
Rio Ave
1-0
Rio Ave
1-0
W
A
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
L
H
Sporting CP
1-4
Sporting CP
1-4
D
H
Gil Vicente
0-0
Gil Vicente
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
D
A
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
A
Rio Ave
1-0
Rio Ave
1-0
W
A
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
Sidelined Players
Casa Pia
1 out
Clau Mendes
injury
Vitória Guimarães
1 out
Óscar Rivas
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 7)
Casa Pia
2
29%
Draws
4
57%
Vitória Guimarães
1
14%
Avg Goals
0.9
BTTS
14%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Casa Pia have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.