Casa Pia vs Porto - Liga Portugal Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

11.46

10% pred

+0.9%

Draw

5.36

21% pred

+2.4%

Away Win

1.26

69% pred

-10.1%

BTTS Yes 2.51 33%

BTTS No 1.48 59%

Key Insights

Title Race

Porto leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

Casa Pia in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Casa Pia in position 16 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Porto unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Porto exceptional away form: 6 wins in last 8 away matches (75% win rate)

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

Porto has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Porto has Samu Aghehowa ranked #4 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Mon, Feb 2 2026 · 20:45

Venue

Campo do Cevadeiro (Vila Franca de Xira)

Competition

Liga Portugal · 20

Coaches

Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco

Casa Pia

Francesco Farioli

Porto

Referee

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Recent Form

Casa Pia

1W 3D 1L

1.2 GF · 1.4 GA

W H Porto

Porto 2-1

D H AVS

AVS 3-3

D H

Vitória Guimarães 0-0

D H

Gil Vicente 1-1

L H Alverca

Alverca 0-2

1W 3D 1L

1.2 GF · 1.4 GA

W H Porto

Porto 2-1

D H AVS

AVS 3-3

D H

Vitória Guimarães 0-0

D H

Gil Vicente 1-1

L H Alverca

Alverca 0-2

1W 1D 3L

1 GF · 2 GA

L A

Sporting CP 0-3

L A Rio Ave

Rio Ave 1-3

W A Tondela

Tondela 2-1

L A

Santa Clara 0-1

D A Benfica

Benfica 2-2

1W 2D 2L

1.2 GF · 2 GA

W H Porto

Porto 2-1

D H AVS

AVS 3-3

L A

Sporting CP 0-3

L A Rio Ave

Rio Ave 1-3

D H

Vitória Guimarães 0-0

Porto

3W 1D 1L

1.4 GF · 0.6 GA

L A

Casa Pia 1-2

D A

Viktoria Plzeň 1-1

W A

Vitória Guimarães 1-0

W A

Santa Clara 1-0

W A Alverca

Alverca 3-0

5W 0D 0L

2.6 GF · 0.6 GA

W H Rangers

Rangers 3-1

W H

Gil Vicente 3-0

W H AVS

AVS 2-0

W H

Estrela Amadora 3-1

W H

Malmö FF 2-1

3W 1D 1L

1.4 GF · 0.6 GA

L A

Casa Pia 1-2

D A

Viktoria Plzeň 1-1

W A

Vitória Guimarães 1-0

W A

Santa Clara 1-0

W A Alverca

Alverca 3-0

3W 1D 1L

1.8 GF · 0.8 GA

L A

Casa Pia 1-2

W H Rangers

Rangers 3-1

W H

Gil Vicente 3-0

D A

Viktoria Plzeň 1-1

W A

Vitória Guimarães 1-0

Sidelined Players

Casa Pia 1 out

Clau Mendes

injury

Porto 5 out

Seko Fofana

injury

Nehuén Pérez

injury

Iván Marcano

injury

Luuk de Jong

injury

Gabri Veiga

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 8)

Casa Pia

1

13%

Draws

1

13%

Porto

6

75%

Avg Goals

2.5

BTTS

50%

League Signals

Predictability

56%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+7%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

24%

BTTS

49%

Over 2.5

49%

Final Words

Casa Pia have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Porto in recent meetings.