Value Assessment
Home Win
5.52
26% pred
+8.3%
VALUE
Draw
4.10
23% pred
-1.3%
Away Win
1.59
50% pred
-12.4%
BTTS Yes
1.82
48%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
5.52
+8.3% edge
26% probability
Expected value: +0.46 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
70%
Match Info
Kickoff
Tue, Dec 30 2025
·
19:30
Venue
Turf Moor
(Burnley)
Competition
Premier League
·
19
Coaches
Scott Parker
Burnley
Eddie Howe
Newcastle United
Referee
Robert Jones
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Burnley
1W 2D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
L
H
West Ham United
0-2
West Ham United
0-2
D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
W
H
Millwall
5-1
Millwall
5-1
D
H
Manchester United
2-2
Manchester United
2-2
L
H
Newcastle United
1-3
Newcastle United
1-3
1W 2D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
L
H
West Ham United
0-2
West Ham United
0-2
D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
W
H
Millwall
5-1
Millwall
5-1
D
H
Manchester United
2-2
Manchester United
2-2
L
H
Newcastle United
1-3
Newcastle United
1-3
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
L
A
Newcastle United
1-2
Newcastle United
1-2
1W 2D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
West Ham United
0-2
West Ham United
0-2
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
W
H
Millwall
5-1
Millwall
5-1
Newcastle United
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
W
A
Burnley
3-1
Burnley
3-1
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Brentford
2-3
Brentford
2-3
L
H
Aston Villa
0-2
Aston Villa
0-2
W
H
PSV
3-0
PSV
3-0
L
H
Manchester City
0-2
Manchester City
0-2
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
W
A
Burnley
3-1
Burnley
3-1
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2.6 GA
L
H
Brentford
2-3
Brentford
2-3
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
L
H
Aston Villa
0-2
Aston Villa
0-2
Sidelined Players
Burnley
4 out
Zeki Amdouni
injury
Manuel Benson
injury
Mike Tresor
injury
Josh Cullen
injury
Newcastle United
4 out
Emil Krafth
suspended
Tino Livramento
injury
Fabian Schär
injury
Sven Botman
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Burnley
0
0%
Draws
2
20%
Newcastle United
8
80%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Burnley have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Newcastle United have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors Newcastle United in recent meetings.