Bristol City vs Sheffield Wednesday - Championship Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.23

57% pred

-24.0%

Draw

6.09

24% pred

+7.4%

VALUE

Away Win

10.87

19% pred

+9.7%

VALUE

BTTS Yes 2.09 41%

BTTS No 1.70 51%

Best Opportunity

VALUE

Away Win @ 10.87

+9.7% edge 19% probability

Expected value: +1.05 units per bet

Confidence

Medium

62%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Sheffield Wednesday in position 24 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

Bristol City has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Sheffield Wednesday has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Sheffield Wednesday in position 24 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Sheffield Wednesday on 5-game losing streak - crisis form

High impact

Away Struggles

Sheffield Wednesday winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 57.3% home win vs 81.3% market consensus - lower probability, 24.0% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

60%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 15:00

Venue

Robins High Performance Centre

Competition

Championship · 29

Coaches

Gerhard Struber

Bristol City

Henrik Pedersen

Sheffield Wednesday

Referee

Ben Speedie

Recent Form

Bristol City

3W 0D 2L

2.4 GF · 1.6 GA

L H

Derby County 0-5

W H

Sheffield Wednesday 2-0

W H Watford

Watford 5-1

L H

Preston North End 0-2

W H

Portsmouth 5-0

3W 0D 2L

2.4 GF · 1.6 GA

L H

Derby County 0-5

W H

Sheffield Wednesday 2-0

W H Watford

Watford 5-1

L H

Preston North End 0-2

W H

Portsmouth 5-0

1W 1D 3L

0.6 GF · 1.2 GA

L A

Ipswich Town 0-2

D A

Oxford United 0-0

L A

Millwall 1-2

W A

West Bromwich Albion 2-1

L A

Coventry City 0-1

2W 1D 2L

1.4 GF · 1.6 GA

L H

Derby County 0-5

W H

Sheffield Wednesday 2-0

L A

Ipswich Town 0-2

D A

Oxford United 0-0

W H Watford

Watford 5-1

Sheffield Wednesday

0W 0D 5L

0.2 GF · 2.4 GA

L A

Blackburn Rovers 0-1

L A

Bristol City 0-2

L A

Queens Park Rangers 0-3

L A

Preston North End 0-3

L A

Ipswich Town 1-3

0W 1D 4L

0 GF · 1.2 GA

L H Wrexham

Wrexham 0-1

L H

Birmingham City 0-2

L H

Portsmouth 0-1

L H

Brentford 0-2

D H

Blackburn Rovers 0-0

0W 0D 5L

0.2 GF · 2.4 GA

L A

Blackburn Rovers 0-1

L A

Bristol City 0-2

L A

Queens Park Rangers 0-3

L A

Preston North End 0-3

L A

Ipswich Town 1-3

0W 0D 5L

0 GF · 1.4 GA

L A

Blackburn Rovers 0-1

L H Wrexham

Wrexham 0-1

L A

Bristol City 0-2

L H

Birmingham City 0-2

L H

Portsmouth 0-1

Sidelined Players

Bristol City 5 out

Jason Knight

injury

Ross McCrorie

injury

Luke McNally

injury

Cameron Pring

injury

Max Bird

injury

Sheffield Wednesday 2 out

Pierce Joseph Charles

injury

Guilherme Siqueira

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Bristol City

4

40%

Draws

3

30%

Sheffield Wednesday

3

30%

Avg Goals

2.1

BTTS

40%

League Signals

Predictability

48%

LOW

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.5

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

26%

BTTS

49%

Over 2.5

46%

Final Words

Sheffield Wednesday have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.