Just Football Predictions

Bristol City vs Derby County

Full Time
Championship Robins High Performance Centre
Bristol City

Bristol City

0
-
5
Derby County

Derby County

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.13
46% pred
-1.2%
Draw
3.26
27% pred
-3.8%
Away Win
3.41
27% pred
-2.0%
BTTS Yes 1.85 43%
BTTS No 1.87 46%

Key Insights

Dead Rubber

Both teams safe in mid-table with nothing to play for - reduced intensity expected

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Derby County

Derby County exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Derby County

Derby County matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Fri, Jan 30 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Robins High Performance Centre
Competition
Championship · 30
Coaches
Gerhard Struber
Gerhard Struber
Bristol City
John Eustace
John Eustace
Derby County
Referee
Tom Nield Tom Nield

Recent Form

Bristol City Bristol City
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Derby County Derby County 0-5
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0
W H Watford Watford 5-1
L H Preston North End Preston North End 0-2
W H Portsmouth Portsmouth 5-0
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Derby County Derby County 0-5
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0
W H Watford Watford 5-1
L H Preston North End Preston North End 0-2
W H Portsmouth Portsmouth 5-0
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2
D A Oxford United Oxford United 0-0
L A Millwall Millwall 1-2
W A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 2-1
L A Coventry City Coventry City 0-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Derby County Derby County 0-5
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0
L A Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2
D A Oxford United Oxford United 0-0
W H Watford Watford 5-1
Derby County Derby County
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
L A Leicester City Leicester City 1-2
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
L H Leeds United Leeds United 1-3
L H Wrexham Wrexham 1-2
W H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0
D H Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
L A Leicester City Leicester City 1-2
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
L H Leeds United Leeds United 1-3

Sidelined Players

Bristol City Bristol City 5 out
Jason Knight
Jason Knight
injury
Ross McCrorie
Ross McCrorie
injury
Luke McNally
Luke McNally
injury
Cameron Pring
Cameron Pring
injury
Max Bird
Max Bird
injury
Derby County Derby County 4 out
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Jacob Widell Zetterström
injury
Sondre Langås
Sondre Langås
injury
Carlton Morris
Carlton Morris
injury
Sammie Szmodics
Sammie Szmodics
suspended

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Bristol City
6
60%
Draws
1
10%
Derby County
3
30%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
48%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%