Value Assessment
Home Win
1.46
51% pred
-17.9%
Draw
4.49
30% pred
+7.6%
VALUE
Away Win
6.67
20% pred
+4.5%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes
1.83
46%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
4.49
+7.6% edge
30% probability
Expected value: +0.34 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
63%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 3 2026
·
15:00
Venue
The American Express Community Stadium
(Falmer)
Competition
Premier League
·
20
Coaches
Fabian Hürzeler
Brighton & Hove Albion
Scott Parker
Burnley
Referee
Tim Robinson
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Brighton & Hove Albion
1W 3D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
L
H
Crystal Palace
0-1
Crystal Palace
0-1
D
H
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
W
H
Burnley
2-0
Burnley
2-0
D
H
Sunderland
0-0
Sunderland
0-0
1W 3D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
L
H
Crystal Palace
0-1
Crystal Palace
0-1
D
H
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
W
H
Burnley
2-0
Burnley
2-0
D
H
Sunderland
0-0
Sunderland
0-0
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Fulham
1-2
Fulham
1-2
W
A
Manchester United
2-1
Manchester United
2-1
D
A
Manchester City
1-1
Manchester City
1-1
D
A
West Ham United
2-2
West Ham United
2-2
L
A
Arsenal
1-2
Arsenal
1-2
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Crystal Palace
0-1
Crystal Palace
0-1
D
H
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
L
A
Fulham
1-2
Fulham
1-2
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
W
A
Manchester United
2-1
Manchester United
2-1
Burnley
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
L
A
Newcastle United
1-2
Newcastle United
1-2
1W 2D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
L
H
West Ham United
0-2
West Ham United
0-2
D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
W
H
Millwall
5-1
Millwall
5-1
D
H
Manchester United
2-2
Manchester United
2-2
L
H
Newcastle United
1-3
Newcastle United
1-3
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
L
A
Newcastle United
1-2
Newcastle United
1-2
1W 2D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
West Ham United
0-2
West Ham United
0-2
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
W
H
Millwall
5-1
Millwall
5-1
Sidelined Players
Brighton & Hove Albion
5 out
Stefanos Tzimas
injury
Jan Paul van Hecke
injury
Yasin Ayari
injury
Jason Steele
injury
Adam Webster
injury
Burnley
4 out
Zeki Amdouni
injury
Manuel Benson
injury
Mike Tresor
injury
Josh Cullen
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Brighton & Hove Albion
3
30%
Draws
5
50%
Burnley
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.3
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Brighton & Hove Albion have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Burnley have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.