Value Assessment
Home Win
1.81
45% pred
-10.2%
Draw
3.72
24% pred
-3.4%
Away Win
4.23
31% pred
+7.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.70
50%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.23
+7.8% edge
31% probability
Expected value: +0.33 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
63%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 23 2025
·
16:15
Venue
Stade Francis-Le Ble
(Brest)
Competition
Ligue 1
·
13
Coaches
Eric Roy
Brest
Benoit Tavenot
Metz
Referee
Gaël Angoula
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Brest
4W 0D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Lorient
2-0
Lorient
2-0
L
H
Toulouse
0-2
Toulouse
0-2
W
H
Auxerre
2-0
Auxerre
2-0
W
H
Monaco
1-0
Monaco
1-0
W
H
Metz
3-2
Metz
3-2
4W 0D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Lorient
2-0
Lorient
2-0
L
H
Toulouse
0-2
Toulouse
0-2
W
H
Auxerre
2-0
Auxerre
2-0
W
H
Monaco
1-0
Monaco
1-0
W
H
Metz
3-2
Metz
3-2
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.2 GA
D
A
Nice
2-2
Nice
2-2
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
L
A
Rennes
1-3
Rennes
1-3
W
A
Strasbourg
2-1
Strasbourg
2-1
L
A
Olympique Marseille
0-3
Olympique Marseille
0-3
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Lorient
2-0
Lorient
2-0
D
A
Nice
2-2
Nice
2-2
L
H
Toulouse
0-2
Toulouse
0-2
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
W
H
Auxerre
2-0
Auxerre
2-0
Metz
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Angers SCO
0-1
Angers SCO
0-1
L
A
Strasbourg
1-2
Strasbourg
1-2
D
A
Lorient
1-1
Lorient
1-1
L
A
Auxerre
1-3
Auxerre
1-3
L
A
Brest
2-3
Brest
2-3
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
D
H
LOSC Lille
0-0
LOSC Lille
0-0
L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
2-5
Olympique Lyonnais
2-5
L
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
L
H
Rennes
0-1
Rennes
0-1
W
H
Nice
2-1
Nice
2-1
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Angers SCO
0-1
Angers SCO
0-1
L
A
Strasbourg
1-2
Strasbourg
1-2
D
A
Lorient
1-1
Lorient
1-1
L
A
Auxerre
1-3
Auxerre
1-3
L
A
Brest
2-3
Brest
2-3
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
LOSC Lille
0-0
LOSC Lille
0-0
L
A
Angers SCO
0-1
Angers SCO
0-1
L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
2-5
Olympique Lyonnais
2-5
L
A
Strasbourg
1-2
Strasbourg
1-2
D
A
Lorient
1-1
Lorient
1-1
Sidelined Players
Brest
2 out
Mama Baldé
injury
Kamory Doumbia
suspended
Metz
4 out
Pape Sy
injury
Joel Asoro
injury
Joseph Mangondo
injury
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
suspended
Head-to-Head (Last 8)
Brest
6
75%
Draws
0
0%
Metz
2
25%
Avg Goals
3.4
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%
Final Words
Metz have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5. Historically, Brest have dominated this fixture.