Just Football Predictions

Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli

Full Time
Bundesliga Signal Iduna Park
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3
-
2
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.32
69% pred
-6.3%
Draw
4.96
21% pred
+1.0%
Away Win
9.92
9% pred
-0.7%
BTTS Yes 2.28 37%
BTTS No 1.60 60%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 18 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (6 wins, 2 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Away Struggles

St. Pauli

St. Pauli winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 14:30
Venue
Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)
Competition
Bundesliga · 18
Coaches
Niko Kovač
Niko Kovač
Borussia Dortmund
Alexander Blessin
Alexander Blessin
St. Pauli
Referee
Harm Osmers Harm Osmers
Related Coverage
League season story Borussia Dortmund form report St. Pauli form report

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-2
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-2
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-1
W A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-0
L A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 0-2
D A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3
D A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
W A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-1
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-0
L A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 0-2
St. Pauli St. Pauli
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3
L A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-2
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0-0
D A FC Köln FC Köln 1-1
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0-0
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
L H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 0-1
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3
L A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-2
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0-0
D A FC Köln FC Köln 1-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0-0
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3

Sidelined Players

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 out
Emre Can
Emre Can
injury
Karim Adeyemi
Karim Adeyemi
injury
Yan Couto
Yan Couto
injury
Marcel Sabitzer
Marcel Sabitzer
injury
Almugera Kabar
Almugera Kabar
injury

+2 more

St. Pauli St. Pauli 11 out
David Nemeth
David Nemeth
injury
Joel Chima Fujita
Joel Chima Fujita
injury
Connor Metcalfe
Connor Metcalfe
injury
Hauke Wahl
Hauke Wahl
injury
Mathias Pereira Lage
Mathias Pereira Lage
injury

+6 more

Head-to-Head (Last 6)

Borussia Dortmund
5
83%
Draws
1
17%
St. Pauli
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.7
BTTS
67%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

St. Pauli have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Borussia Dortmund have dominated this fixture.