Borussia Dortmund vs Inter

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.83
38% pred
+2.8%
Draw
3.50
27% pred
-1.4%
Away Win
2.39
35% pred
-7.1%
BTTS Yes 1.55 44%
BTTS No 2.40 45% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Rotation Risk

Inter

Inter has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Inter

Inter exceptional away form: 7 wins in last 8 away matches (88% win rate)

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 43.9% BTTS vs 64.5% market consensus - lower probability, 20.7% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)
Competition
Champions League · League Stage , 8
Coaches
Niko Kovač
Niko Kovač
Borussia Dortmund
Cristian Chivu
Cristian Chivu
Inter
Referee
Istvan Kovacs Istvan Kovacs

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-2
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-2
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-0
L A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 0-2
D A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3
D A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-1
W A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-0
L A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 0-2
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-2
Inter Inter
5W 0D 0L
1.6 GF · 0 GA
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
W A Udinese Udinese 1-0
W A Parma Parma 2-0
W A Atalanta Atalanta 1-0
3W 1D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
L H Arsenal Arsenal 1-3
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
D H Napoli Napoli 2-2
W H Bologna Bologna 3-1
5W 0D 0L
1.6 GF · 0 GA
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
W A Udinese Udinese 1-0
W A Parma Parma 2-0
W A Atalanta Atalanta 1-0
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1 GA
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
L H Arsenal Arsenal 1-3
W A Udinese Udinese 1-0

Sidelined Players

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 5 out
Marcel Sabitzer
Marcel Sabitzer
injury
Filippo Mane
Filippo Mane
injury
Emre Can
Emre Can
injury
Daniel Svensson
Daniel Svensson
suspended
Emre Can
Emre Can
injury
Inter Inter 4 out
Joaquín Correa
Joaquín Correa
injury
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries
injury
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella
injury
Kristjan Asllani
Kristjan Asllani
suspended

Head-to-Head (Last 3)

Borussia Dortmund
1
33%
Draws
0
0%
Inter
2
67%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
33%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%

Final Words

Inter arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games.