Value Assessment
Home Win
2.83
38% pred
+2.8%
Draw
3.50
27% pred
-1.4%
Away Win
2.39
35% pred
-7.1%
BTTS Yes
1.55
44%
BTTS No
2.40
45%
MARGINAL
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Inter has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactAway Specialist
Inter exceptional away form: 7 wins in last 8 away matches (88% win rate)
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 43.9% BTTS vs 64.5% market consensus - lower probability, 20.7% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
70%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Signal Iduna Park
(Dortmund)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 8
Coaches
Niko Kovač
Borussia Dortmund
Cristian Chivu
Inter
Referee
Istvan Kovacs
Recent Form
Borussia Dortmund
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Heidenheim
3-2
Heidenheim
3-2
L
H
Inter
0-2
Inter
0-2
W
H
St. Pauli
3-2
St. Pauli
3-2
W
H
Werder Bremen
3-0
Werder Bremen
3-0
W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Heidenheim
3-2
Heidenheim
3-2
L
H
Inter
0-2
Inter
0-2
W
H
St. Pauli
3-2
St. Pauli
3-2
W
H
Werder Bremen
3-0
Werder Bremen
3-0
W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
FC Union Berlin
3-0
FC Union Berlin
3-0
L
A
Tottenham Hotspur
0-2
Tottenham Hotspur
0-2
D
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-3
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-3
D
A
SC Freiburg
1-1
SC Freiburg
1-1
W
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2-1
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Heidenheim
3-2
Heidenheim
3-2
L
H
Inter
0-2
Inter
0-2
W
A
FC Union Berlin
3-0
FC Union Berlin
3-0
L
A
Tottenham Hotspur
0-2
Tottenham Hotspur
0-2
W
H
St. Pauli
3-2
St. Pauli
3-2
Inter
5W 0D 0L
1.6 GF · 0 GA
W
A
Cremonese
2-0
Cremonese
2-0
W
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
W
A
Udinese
1-0
Udinese
1-0
W
A
Parma
2-0
Parma
2-0
W
A
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
3W 1D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Pisa
6-2
Pisa
6-2
L
H
Arsenal
1-3
Arsenal
1-3
W
H
Lecce
1-0
Lecce
1-0
D
H
Napoli
2-2
Napoli
2-2
W
H
Bologna
3-1
Bologna
3-1
5W 0D 0L
1.6 GF · 0 GA
W
A
Cremonese
2-0
Cremonese
2-0
W
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
W
A
Udinese
1-0
Udinese
1-0
W
A
Parma
2-0
Parma
2-0
W
A
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Cremonese
2-0
Cremonese
2-0
W
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
W
H
Pisa
6-2
Pisa
6-2
L
H
Arsenal
1-3
Arsenal
1-3
W
A
Udinese
1-0
Udinese
1-0
Sidelined Players
Borussia Dortmund
5 out
Marcel Sabitzer
injury
Filippo Mane
injury
Emre Can
injury
Daniel Svensson
suspended
Emre Can
injury
Inter
4 out
Joaquín Correa
injury
Denzel Dumfries
injury
Nicolò Barella
injury
Kristjan Asllani
suspended
Head-to-Head (Last 3)
Borussia Dortmund
1
33%
Draws
0
0%
Inter
2
67%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
33%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
Inter arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games.