Bologna vs Fiorentina

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.34
41% pred
-1.9%
Draw
3.28
30% pred
-0.9%
Away Win
3.07
30% pred
-3.0%
BTTS Yes 1.67 44%
BTTS No 2.16 52% VALUE

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Fiorentina

Fiorentina in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

Bologna

Bologna has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Fiorentina

Fiorentina in position 18 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 18 2026 · 14:00
Venue
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)
Competition
Serie A · 21
Coaches
Vincenzo Italiano
Vincenzo Italiano
Bologna
Paolo Vanoli
Paolo Vanoli
Fiorentina
Referee
Daniele Doveri Daniele Doveri

Recent Form

Bologna Bologna
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 2 GA
L H Parma Parma 0-1
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-3
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
L H Atalanta Atalanta 0-2
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 2 GA
L H Parma Parma 0-1
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-3
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
L H Atalanta Atalanta 0-2
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
W A Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0
L A Genoa Genoa 2-3
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-2
D A Como Como 1-1
L A Inter Inter 1-3
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Parma Parma 0-1
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-3
W A Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0
L A Genoa Genoa 2-3
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
Fiorentina Fiorentina
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L A Napoli Napoli 1-2
W A Bologna Bologna 2-1
D A Lazio Lazio 2-2
L A Parma Parma 0-1
L A Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 0-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Torino Torino 2-2
L H Como Como 1-3
L H Cagliari Cagliari 1-2
D H AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
W H Cremonese Cremonese 1-0
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L A Napoli Napoli 1-2
W A Bologna Bologna 2-1
D A Lazio Lazio 2-2
L A Parma Parma 0-1
L A Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 0-1
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
D H Torino Torino 2-2
L A Napoli Napoli 1-2
L H Como Como 1-3
L H Cagliari Cagliari 1-2
W A Bologna Bologna 2-1

Sidelined Players

Bologna Bologna 3 out
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí
injury
Lorenzo De Silvestri  
Lorenzo De Silvestri  
injury
Charalampos Lykogiannis
Charalampos Lykogiannis
injury
Fiorentina Fiorentina 1 out
Albert Gudmundsson
Albert Gudmundsson
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Bologna
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Fiorentina
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Bologna vs Fiorentina kicks off at 14:00 [GMT] on Sunday, January 18, at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara.
Bologna Bologna

<p><strong>Bologna</strong> and <strong>Fiorentina</strong> will meet at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara on January 18 in a Serie A clash. Bologna sit 8th with 30 points, firmly in the hunt for a top-half finish, while Fiorentina are 18th with 14 points.</p> <p>Despite their relatively strong league position, Bologna arrive with mixed recent form. The Rossoblù have won just one of their last eight Serie A matches, slowing momentum after a promising first half of the campaign. Across all competitions, they have lost three of their last six games, highlighting some inconsistency in performances.</p> <p>Bologna’s home form against Fiorentina offers encouragement, particularly given their recent dominance in this fixture at the Dall’Ara. Historically, Bologna have held the upper hand in recent home meetings. They are unbeaten in six of their last seven home league games against Fiorentina and have won each of the last three Serie A encounters between the sides on their own ground.</p> <p>This strong home record could prove decisive, especially against a Fiorentina side that has struggled badly away from Florence. A 4—2—3—1 formation with <strong>Santiago Castro</strong> in attack is expected against the Purples.</p>

Fiorentina Fiorentina

<p>Fiorentina’s away form remains a concern. They have lost 67% of their last six away Serie A matches and won only three of their previous 22 away league games. They also average 0.70 goals per away match this season.</p> <p>This lack of attacking threat has left them vulnerable in tight matches, often requiring near-perfect defensive displays just to remain competitive.</p> <p>From a tactical perspective, the match may develop into a cautious affair.</p> <p>Head-to-head statistics underline how evenly matched these sides can be overall, with Bologna winning 50% of their last six league meetings against Fiorentina.</p> <p>For Bologna, this fixture represents an opportunity to arrest their recent dip in league results and strengthen their push for a top-eight finish.</p> <p>Fiorentina, meanwhile, desperately need points in their fight against relegation but must overcome a poor away record and a challenging historical matchup.</p> <p>Albert Gudmundsson, Roberto Piccoli, and Cher Ndour could team up at the attacking end of Fiorentina’s 3-4-3 formation.</p> <p>Pablo Marí is ruled out due to injury.</p>