Value Assessment
Home Win
1.78
55% pred
-1.2%
Draw
3.59
28% pred
+0.5%
Away Win
4.38
17% pred
-6.1%
BTTS Yes
1.87
40%
BTTS No
1.87
53%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Birmingham City has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactRotation Risk
Stoke City has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactStreak Watch
Birmingham City unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactHome Fortress
Birmingham City unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (4 wins, 4 draws) - strong home advantage
Medium impactDead Rubber
Both teams safe in mid-table with nothing to play for - reduced intensity expected
Medium impactMatch Normality
40%
High risk match
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026
·
15:00
Venue
St. Andrew's Stadium
(Birmingham)
Competition
Championship
·
29
Coaches
Chris Davies
Birmingham City
Mark Robins
Stoke City
Referee
James Bell
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Birmingham City
2W 3D 0L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
D
H
Stoke City
1-1
Stoke City
1-1
W
H
Coventry City
3-2
Coventry City
3-2
D
H
Southampton
1-1
Southampton
1-1
D
H
Derby County
1-1
Derby County
1-1
2W 3D 0L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
D
H
Stoke City
1-1
Stoke City
1-1
W
H
Coventry City
3-2
Coventry City
3-2
D
H
Southampton
1-1
Southampton
1-1
D
H
Derby County
1-1
Derby County
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
D
A
Swansea City
1-1
Swansea City
1-1
W
A
Cambridge United
3-2
Cambridge United
3-2
L
A
Watford
0-3
Watford
0-3
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
D
H
Stoke City
1-1
Stoke City
1-1
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
D
A
Swansea City
1-1
Swansea City
1-1
Stoke City
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
D
A
Birmingham City
1-1
Birmingham City
1-1
W
A
Norwich City
2-0
Norwich City
2-0
W
A
Hull City
1-0
Hull City
1-0
L
A
Watford
0-1
Watford
0-1
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Southampton
0-2
Southampton
0-2
L
H
Middlesbrough
1-2
Middlesbrough
1-2
D
H
Queens Park Rangers
0-0
Queens Park Rangers
0-0
W
H
Coventry City
1-0
Coventry City
1-0
L
H
Sheffield United
1-2
Sheffield United
1-2
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
D
A
Birmingham City
1-1
Birmingham City
1-1
W
A
Norwich City
2-0
Norwich City
2-0
W
A
Hull City
1-0
Hull City
1-0
L
A
Watford
0-1
Watford
0-1
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D
A
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
L
H
Southampton
0-2
Southampton
0-2
D
A
Birmingham City
1-1
Birmingham City
1-1
L
H
Middlesbrough
1-2
Middlesbrough
1-2
D
H
Queens Park Rangers
0-0
Queens Park Rangers
0-0
Sidelined Players
Birmingham City
2 out
Ethan Laird
injury
Ethan Laird
injury
Stoke City
3 out
Gavin Bazunu
injury
Bosun Lawal
injury
Junior Tchamadeu
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Birmingham City
3
30%
Draws
5
50%
Stoke City
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.1
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Stoke City have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.