Value Assessment
Home Win
2.37
53% pred
+10.5%
VALUE
Draw
3.41
22% pred
-7.2%
Away Win
2.85
25% pred
-9.9%
BTTS Yes
1.64
49%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
2.37
+10.5% edge
53% probability
Expected value: +0.25 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
64%
Match Info
Kickoff
Mon, Dec 29 2025
·
20:15
Venue
St. Andrew's Stadium
(Birmingham)
Competition
Championship
·
24
Coaches
Chris Davies
Birmingham City
William Still
Southampton
Referee
Matt Donohue
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Birmingham City
2W 3D 0L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
D
H
Stoke City
1-1
Stoke City
1-1
W
H
Coventry City
3-2
Coventry City
3-2
D
H
Southampton
1-1
Southampton
1-1
D
H
Derby County
1-1
Derby County
1-1
2W 3D 0L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
D
H
Stoke City
1-1
Stoke City
1-1
W
H
Coventry City
3-2
Coventry City
3-2
D
H
Southampton
1-1
Southampton
1-1
D
H
Derby County
1-1
Derby County
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
D
A
Swansea City
1-1
Swansea City
1-1
W
A
Cambridge United
3-2
Cambridge United
3-2
L
A
Watford
0-3
Watford
0-3
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
D
H
Stoke City
1-1
Stoke City
1-1
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
D
A
Swansea City
1-1
Swansea City
1-1
Southampton
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Stoke City
2-0
Stoke City
2-0
D
A
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
W
A
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
L
A
Middlesbrough
0-4
Middlesbrough
0-4
D
A
Birmingham City
1-1
Birmingham City
1-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Watford
1-0
Watford
1-0
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
D
H
Millwall
0-0
Millwall
0-0
D
H
Coventry City
1-1
Coventry City
1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Stoke City
2-0
Stoke City
2-0
D
A
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
W
A
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
L
A
Middlesbrough
0-4
Middlesbrough
0-4
D
A
Birmingham City
1-1
Birmingham City
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Watford
1-0
Watford
1-0
W
A
Stoke City
2-0
Stoke City
2-0
D
A
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
Sidelined Players
Birmingham City
2 out
Ethan Laird
injury
Ethan Laird
injury
Southampton
5 out
Will Smallbone
injury
Kamaldeen Sulemana
injury
Jack Stephens
injury
Cyle Larin
injury
Mads Roerslev
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Birmingham City
3
30%
Draws
2
20%
Southampton
5
50%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%