Basel vs Viktoria Plzeň

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.03
45% pred
-4.1%
Draw
3.78
26% pred
-0.8%
Away Win
3.30
29% pred
-1.1%
BTTS Yes 1.52 42%
BTTS No 2.45 47% VALUE

Key Insights

Rotation Risk

Basel

Basel has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Viktoria Plzeň

Viktoria Plzeň unbeaten in 5 games (1 wins, 4 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Basel

Basel matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

Viktoria Plzeň

Viktoria Plzeň has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 42.2% BTTS vs 65.8% market consensus - lower probability, 23.6% gap

Medium impact

Upset Alert

Basel

Basel (position 30) is favorite despite being 16 places below Viktoria Plzeň (position 14) - potential upset or market overreaction

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Thu, Jan 29 2026 · 20:00
Venue
St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
Competition
Europa League · League Stage , 8
Coaches
Stephan Lichtsteiner
Stephan Lichtsteiner
Basel
Martin Hysky
Martin Hysky
Viktoria Plzeň
Referee
Giorgi Kruashvili Giorgi Kruashvili

Recent Form

Basel Basel
0W 3D 2L
0.6 GF · 1 GA
L H Thun Thun 1-2
L H Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň 0-1
D H Sion Sion 1-1
D H Servette Servette 1-1
D H Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 0-0
0W 3D 2L
0.6 GF · 1 GA
L H Thun Thun 1-2
L H Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň 0-1
D H Sion Sion 1-1
D H Servette Servette 1-1
D H Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 0-0
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
W A Zürich Zürich 4-3
L A Salzburg Salzburg 1-3
W A Luzern Luzern 2-1
W A Winterthur Winterthur 2-1
L A Genk Genk 1-2
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L H Thun Thun 1-2
L H Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň 0-1
W A Zürich Zürich 4-3
L A Salzburg Salzburg 1-3
D H Sion Sion 1-1
Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W A Basel Basel 1-0
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0
W A Roma Roma 2-1
D A Ferencvárosi Ferencvárosi 1-1
L A Rangers Rangers 0-3
2W 3D 0L
1.2 GF · 0.4 GA
D H Porto Porto 1-1
D H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0-0
D H Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-0
W H Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0
W H Rangers Rangers 2-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W A Basel Basel 1-0
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0
W A Roma Roma 2-1
D A Ferencvárosi Ferencvárosi 1-1
L A Rangers Rangers 0-3
1W 4D 0L
0.4 GF · 0.2 GA
W A Basel Basel 1-0
D H Porto Porto 1-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0
D H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0-0
D H Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-0

Sidelined Players

Basel Basel 8 out
Bénie Traoré
Bénie Traoré
injury
Keigo Tsunemoto 
Keigo Tsunemoto 
injury
Marwin Hitz
Marwin Hitz
injury
Finn van Breemen
Finn van Breemen
injury
Moritz Broschinski 
Moritz Broschinski 
injury

+3 more

Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň 0 out

No reported absences

Head-to-Head (Last 1)

Basel
0
0%
Draws
0
0%
Viktoria Plzeň
1
100%
Avg Goals
1.0
BTTS
0%

League Signals

Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%

Final Words

Basel have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Viktoria Plzeň have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.