Just Football Predictions

AZ vs Excelsior

Full Time
Eredivisie AFAS Stadion
AZ

AZ

1
-
1
Excelsior

Excelsior

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.32
68% pred
-8.2%
Draw
5.48
19% pred
+0.3%
Away Win
8.29
14% pred
+1.8%
BTTS Yes 1.73 44%
BTTS No 2.04 48%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Excelsior

Excelsior in position 14 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 21 2026 · 17:45
Venue
AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)
Competition
Eredivisie · 16
Coaches
Leeroy Echteld
Leeroy Echteld
AZ
Ruben den Uil
Ruben den Uil
Excelsior
Referee
Alex Bos Alex Bos
Related Coverage
League season story AZ form report Excelsior form report

Recent Form

AZ AZ
1W 3D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
D H Ajax Ajax 1-1
L H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-3
D H Excelsior Excelsior 1-1
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-0
D H Jagiellonia Białystok Jagiellonia Białystok 0-0
1W 3D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
D H Ajax Ajax 1-1
L H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-3
D H Excelsior Excelsior 1-1
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-0
D H Jagiellonia Białystok Jagiellonia Białystok 0-0
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Telstar Telstar 1-0
L A PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-3
L A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-4
W A Drita Drita 3-0
L A FC Twente FC Twente 0-1
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Ajax Ajax 1-1
L H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-3
W A Telstar Telstar 1-0
D H Excelsior Excelsior 1-1
L A PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-3
Excelsior Excelsior
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
D A AZ AZ 1-1
L A PSV PSV 1-5
W A Ajax Ajax 2-1
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
D H Telstar Telstar 2-2
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-1
L H FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-2
W H NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
D A AZ AZ 1-1
L A PSV PSV 1-5
W A Ajax Ajax 2-1
1W 4D 0L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
D A AZ AZ 1-1
D H Telstar Telstar 2-2

Sidelined Players

AZ AZ 6 out
Denso Kasius
Denso Kasius
injury
Jordy Clasie
Jordy Clasie
injury
Lequincio Zeefuik
Lequincio Zeefuik
injury
Sven Mijnans
Sven Mijnans
injury
Mexx Meerdink
Mexx Meerdink
injury

+1 more

Excelsior Excelsior 1 out
Zach Booth
Zach Booth
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

AZ
4
40%
Draws
3
30%
Excelsior
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.2
BTTS
70%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%

Final Words

AZ have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Excelsior have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.