Just Football Predictions

Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés

Full Time
La Liga Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

1
-
0
Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.36
62% pred
-11.5%
Draw
4.82
23% pred
+2.6%
Away Win
8.74
15% pred
+3.1%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 2.22 41%
BTTS No 1.63 55%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés in position 18 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (8 wins, 0 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 18 2026 · 15:15
Venue
Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
Competition
La Liga · 20
Coaches
D. Simeone
D. Simeone
Atlético Madrid
Eduardo Coudet
Eduardo Coudet
Deportivo Alavés
Referee
Guillermo Cuadra Fernández Guillermo Cuadra Fernández
Related Coverage
League season story Atlético Madrid form report Deportivo Alavés form report

Recent Form

Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Real Betis Real Betis 0-1
L H Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-2
W H Mallorca Mallorca 3-0
W H Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés 1-0
W H Valencia Valencia 2-1
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Real Betis Real Betis 0-1
L H Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-2
W H Mallorca Mallorca 3-0
W H Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés 1-0
W H Valencia Valencia 2-1
2W 3D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W A Real Betis Real Betis 5-0
D A Levante Levante 0-0
D A Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-1
W A Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña 1-0
D A Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 0.6 GA
L H Real Betis Real Betis 0-1
W A Real Betis Real Betis 5-0
D A Levante Levante 0-0
L H Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-2
W H Mallorca Mallorca 3-0
Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Espanyol Espanyol 2-1
L A Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid 0-1
L A Villarreal Villarreal 1-3
L A Osasuna Osasuna 0-3
W A Portugalete Portugalete 3-0
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Getafe Getafe 0-2
L H Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-3
W H Real Betis Real Betis 2-1
W H Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-0
D H Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Espanyol Espanyol 2-1
L A Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid 0-1
L A Villarreal Villarreal 1-3
L A Osasuna Osasuna 0-3
W A Portugalete Portugalete 3-0
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Getafe Getafe 0-2
L H Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-3
W A Espanyol Espanyol 2-1
W H Real Betis Real Betis 2-1
L A Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid 0-1

Sidelined Players

Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid 3 out
Pablo Barrios
Pablo Barrios
injury
Clément Lenglet 
Clément Lenglet 
injury
Javi Galán
Javi Galán
injury
Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés 2 out
Joan Jordán
Joan Jordán
injury
Antonio Sivera
Antonio Sivera
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Atlético Madrid
6
60%
Draws
2
20%
Deportivo Alavés
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.1
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

Historically, Atlético Madrid have dominated this fixture.