Value Assessment
Home Win
1.27
54% pred
-24.3%
Draw
6.60
22% pred
+6.8%
VALUE
Away Win
8.55
24% pred
+11.9%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.51
43%
BTTS No
2.51
47%
VALUE
Key Insights
High Scoring
Bodø / Glimt involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 54.5% home win vs 78.7% market consensus - lower probability, 24.3% gap
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 42.5% BTTS vs 66.2% market consensus - lower probability, 23.7% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
(Madrid)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 8
Coaches
D. Simeone
Atlético Madrid
Kjetil Knutsen
Bodø / Glimt
Referee
Maurizio Mariani
Recent Form
Atlético Madrid
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.6 GA
L
H
Bodø / Glimt
1-2
Bodø / Glimt
1-2
W
H
Mallorca
3-0
Mallorca
3-0
W
H
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
W
H
Valencia
2-1
Valencia
2-1
W
H
Real Oviedo
2-0
Real Oviedo
2-0
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.6 GA
L
H
Bodø / Glimt
1-2
Bodø / Glimt
1-2
W
H
Mallorca
3-0
Mallorca
3-0
W
H
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
W
H
Valencia
2-1
Valencia
2-1
W
H
Real Oviedo
2-0
Real Oviedo
2-0
2W 3D 0L
1.2 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
Levante
0-0
Levante
0-0
D
A
Galatasaray
1-1
Galatasaray
1-1
W
A
Deportivo La Coruña
1-0
Deportivo La Coruña
1-0
D
A
Real Sociedad
1-1
Real Sociedad
1-1
W
A
Girona
3-0
Girona
3-0
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.6 GA
D
A
Levante
0-0
Levante
0-0
L
H
Bodø / Glimt
1-2
Bodø / Glimt
1-2
W
H
Mallorca
3-0
Mallorca
3-0
D
A
Galatasaray
1-1
Galatasaray
1-1
W
H
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
Bodø / Glimt
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Atlético Madrid
2-1
Atlético Madrid
2-1
D
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
2-2
W
A
KFUM
2-1
KFUM
2-1
L
A
Vålerenga
1-3
Vålerenga
1-3
W
A
Brann
2-1
Brann
2-1
3W 0D 2L
3 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Manchester City
3-1
Manchester City
3-1
W
H
Fredrikstad
5-0
Fredrikstad
5-0
L
H
Juventus
2-3
Juventus
2-3
W
H
Bryne
5-0
Bryne
5-0
L
H
Monaco
0-1
Monaco
0-1
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Atlético Madrid
2-1
Atlético Madrid
2-1
D
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
2-2
W
A
KFUM
2-1
KFUM
2-1
L
A
Vålerenga
1-3
Vålerenga
1-3
W
A
Brann
2-1
Brann
2-1
3W 1D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Atlético Madrid
2-1
Atlético Madrid
2-1
W
H
Manchester City
3-1
Manchester City
3-1
D
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
2-2
W
H
Fredrikstad
5-0
Fredrikstad
5-0
L
H
Juventus
2-3
Juventus
2-3
Sidelined Players
Atlético Madrid
3 out
Antoine Griezmann
injury
Clément Lenglet
injury
Javi Galán
injury
Bodø / Glimt
3 out
Odin Luras Bjortuft
injury
Daniel Bassi
injury
Ulrik Saltnes
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Atlético Madrid
0
0%
Draws
0
0%
Bodø / Glimt
1
100%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%