Value Assessment
Home Win
2.74
26% pred
-10.2%
Draw
3.34
23% pred
-6.5%
Away Win
2.56
50% pred
+11.2%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.67
43%
BTTS No
2.16
46%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Athletic Club has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
High impactStreak Watch
Sporting CP unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactHigh Scoring
Sporting CP involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
Athletic Club matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactMatch Normality
55%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026
·
20:00
Venue
San Mamés Barria
(Bilbao)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 8
Coaches
Ernesto Valverde Tejedor
Athletic Club
Referee
Felix Zwayer
Recent Form
Athletic Club
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Real Sociedad
1-1
Real Sociedad
1-1
L
H
Sporting CP
2-3
Sporting CP
2-3
L
H
Espanyol
1-2
Espanyol
1-2
D
H
Paris Saint Germain
0-0
Paris Saint Germain
0-0
W
H
Atlético Madrid
1-0
Atlético Madrid
1-0
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Real Sociedad
1-1
Real Sociedad
1-1
L
H
Sporting CP
2-3
Sporting CP
2-3
L
H
Espanyol
1-2
Espanyol
1-2
D
H
Paris Saint Germain
0-0
Paris Saint Germain
0-0
W
H
Atlético Madrid
1-0
Atlético Madrid
1-0
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Sevilla
1-2
Sevilla
1-2
W
A
Atalanta
3-2
Atalanta
3-2
L
A
Mallorca
2-3
Mallorca
2-3
W
A
Cultural Leonesa
4-3
Cultural Leonesa
4-3
D
A
Osasuna
1-1
Osasuna
1-1
1W 1D 3L
1.8 GF · 2.2 GA
D
H
Real Sociedad
1-1
Real Sociedad
1-1
L
H
Sporting CP
2-3
Sporting CP
2-3
L
A
Sevilla
1-2
Sevilla
1-2
W
A
Atalanta
3-2
Atalanta
3-2
L
A
Mallorca
2-3
Mallorca
2-3
Sporting CP
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
D
A
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
W
A
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
L
A
FC Bayern München
1-3
FC Bayern München
1-3
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
W
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
W
H
Casa Pia
3-0
Casa Pia
3-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
W
H
AVS
6-0
AVS
6-0
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
D
A
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
W
A
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
L
A
FC Bayern München
1-3
FC Bayern München
1-3
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
W
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
W
H
Casa Pia
3-0
Casa Pia
3-0
Sidelined Players
Athletic Club
6 out
Yeray Álvarez
suspended
Yeray Álvarez
suspended
Unai Egiluz
injury
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
injury
Nico Williams
injury
+1 more
Sporting CP
5 out
Pedro Gonçalves
suspended
Pedro Gonçalves
injury
Maxi Araújo
suspended
Jeremiah St. Juste
injury
Geovany Quenda
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 3)
Athletic Club
1
33%
Draws
0
0%
Sporting CP
2
67%
Avg Goals
4.0
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
Athletic Club have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Sporting CP arrive in strong form with 5 wins from 5 games.