Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad - La Liga Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

2.21

32% pred

-13.7%

Draw

3.11

29% pred

-2.8%

Away Win

3.51

39% pred

+10.6%

VALUE

BTTS Yes 1.89 41%

BTTS No 1.87 48%

Key Insights

European Race

Real Sociedad in position 8 - competing for Conference League qualification

High impact

Rotation Risk

Athletic Club has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Real Sociedad unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Athletic Club matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 8 of last 8 matches (100%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Real Sociedad matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 8 of last 8 matches (100%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Athletic Club has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Real Sociedad has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Real Sociedad has Mikel Oyarzabal ranked #9 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Upset Alert

Athletic Club (position 14) is favorite despite being 6 places below Real Sociedad (position 8) - potential upset or market overreaction

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 20:00

Venue

San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)

Competition

La Liga · 22

Coaches

Ernesto Valverde Tejedor

Athletic Club

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Real Sociedad

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra Fernández

Recent Form

Athletic Club

1W 2D 2L

1 GF · 1.2 GA

D H

Real Sociedad 1-1

L H

Sporting CP 2-3

L H

Espanyol 1-2

D H

Paris Saint Germain 0-0

W H

Atlético Madrid 1-0

1W 2D 2L

1 GF · 1.2 GA

D H

Real Sociedad 1-1

L H

Sporting CP 2-3

L H

Espanyol 1-2

D H

Paris Saint Germain 0-0

W H

Atlético Madrid 1-0

2W 1D 2L

2.2 GF · 2.2 GA

L A Sevilla

Sevilla 1-2

W A

Atalanta 3-2

L A

Mallorca 2-3

W A

Cultural Leonesa 4-3

D A Osasuna

Osasuna 1-1

1W 1D 3L

1.8 GF · 2.2 GA

D H

Real Sociedad 1-1

L H

Sporting CP 2-3

L A Sevilla

Sevilla 1-2

W A

Atalanta 3-2

L A

Mallorca 2-3

Real Sociedad

2W 2D 1L

1.2 GF · 1 GA

D A

Athletic Club 1-1

W A Getafe

Getafe 2-1

D A Levante

Levante 1-1

W A Eldense

Eldense 2-1

L A

Deportivo Alavés 0-1

2W 2D 1L

1.8 GF · 1.4 GA

W H

Celta de Vigo 3-1

W H

FC Barcelona 2-1

D H Osasuna

Osasuna 2-2

D H

Atlético Madrid 1-1

L H Girona

Girona 1-2

2W 2D 1L

1.2 GF · 1 GA

D A

Athletic Club 1-1

W A Getafe

Getafe 2-1

D A Levante

Levante 1-1

W A Eldense

Eldense 2-1

L A

Deportivo Alavés 0-1

3W 2D 0L

2 GF · 1.2 GA

D A

Athletic Club 1-1

W H

Celta de Vigo 3-1

W H

FC Barcelona 2-1

D H Osasuna

Osasuna 2-2

W A Getafe

Getafe 2-1

Sidelined Players

Athletic Club 6 out

Yeray Álvarez

suspended

Yeray Álvarez

suspended

Unai Egiluz

injury

Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta

injury

Nico Williams

injury

+1 more

Real Sociedad 2 out

Arsen Zakharyan

injury

Arsen Zakharyan

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Athletic Club

4

40%

Draws

3

30%

Real Sociedad

3

30%

Avg Goals

2.6

BTTS

50%

League Signals

Predictability

46%

LOW

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

27%

BTTS

51%

Over 2.5

46%

Final Words

Athletic Club have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.