Atalanta vs Parma

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.34
62% pred
-12.7%
Draw
4.96
24% pred
+3.7%
MARGINAL
Away Win
8.95
14% pred
+3.0%
BTTS Yes 2.05 40%
BTTS No 1.73 56%

Key Insights

Rotation Risk

Atalanta

Atalanta has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

Atalanta

Atalanta has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Atalanta

Atalanta has Nikola Krstović ranked #9 in league scoring (6 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 14:00
Venue
Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)
Competition
Serie A · 22
Coaches
Raffaele Palladino
Raffaele Palladino
Atalanta
Carlos Antón Cuesta
Carlos Antón Cuesta
Parma
Referee
Juan Luca Sacchi Juan Luca Sacchi

Recent Form

Atalanta Atalanta
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Parma Parma 4-0
L H Athletic Club Athletic Club 2-3
W H Torino Torino 2-0
W H Roma Roma 1-0
L H Inter Inter 0-1
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Parma Parma 4-0
L H Athletic Club Athletic Club 2-3
W H Torino Torino 2-0
W H Roma Roma 1-0
L H Inter Inter 0-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.4 GA
D A Como Como 0-0
L A Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1
D A Pisa Pisa 1-1
W A Bologna Bologna 2-0
W A Genoa Genoa 1-0
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
D A Como Como 0-0
L A Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1
W H Parma Parma 4-0
L H Athletic Club Athletic Club 2-3
D A Pisa Pisa 1-1
Parma Parma
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
D A Napoli Napoli 0-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-1
D A Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1
W A Pisa Pisa 1-0
1W 1D 3L
0.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Juventus Juventus 1-4
D H Genoa Genoa 0-0
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0
L H Lazio Lazio 0-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
D A Napoli Napoli 0-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-1
D A Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1
W A Pisa Pisa 1-0
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Juventus Juventus 1-4
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
D H Genoa Genoa 0-0
D A Napoli Napoli 0-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-1

Sidelined Players

Atalanta Atalanta 0 out

No reported absences

Parma Parma 5 out
Pontus Almqvist
Pontus Almqvist
injury
Vicente Guaita
Vicente Guaita
injury
Zion Suzuki
Zion Suzuki
injury
Lautaro Valenti
Lautaro Valenti
injury
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Atalanta
8
80%
Draws
1
10%
Parma
1
10%
Avg Goals
4.0
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Atalanta vs Parma kicks off at 14:00 [GMT] on Sunday, January 25, at Gewiss Stadium.
Atalanta Atalanta

<p>Atalanta return after a 3-2 defeat to Athletic Club in the UEFA Champions League. They arrive off a 1-1 draw with newly promoted Pisa last weekend.</p> <p>La Dea sit seventh in the standings on 32 points, firmly in the mix for European qualification. Parma occupy 11th with 23 points, enjoying a relatively steady campaign but still seeking greater consistency to climb into the top half.</p> <p>While the gap between the two sides is clear, recent form suggests a competitive contest. The hosts have been particularly strong on home soil.</p> <p>Atalanta have recorded four wins in their last six home Serie A matches, reinforcing Gewiss Stadium’s reputation as a difficult venue for visiting teams.</p> <p>Their ability to manage games effectively at home has been key to their solid league position, even when attacking output has dipped.</p> <p>Indeed, one of the most striking trends surrounding Atalanta is their recent emphasis on defensive control.</p> <p>All of their last six Serie A matches have finished with under 2.5 goals, highlighting a more pragmatic approach compared to their traditionally high-scoring style.</p> <p>A 3—4—2—1 formation with Gianluca Scamacca in attack is expected against Atalanta.</p>

Parma Parma

<p>Parma [DLWDD] arrive with a mixed away record. They have won 50% of their last six away league fixtures, indicating they can pick up results on the road.</p> <p>However, goals have been an issue, with the visitors averaging just 0.70 goals per away match in Serie A. This lack of cutting edge could be problematic against an Atalanta side that has been defensively sound in recent weeks.</p> <p>History also leans in favour of the hosts. Atalanta have dominated this fixture in recent years, boasting a 67% win rate across the last six head-to-head meetings against Parma.</p> <p>Furthermore, they have avoided defeat in 11 of their last 13 home league encounters with Parma, underlining their long-term superiority in Bergamo.</p> <p>Overall, this matchup appears to favour Atalanta, especially considering their strong home form and historical dominance in this fixture. Still, Parma’s recent ability to collect points on their travels means they cannot be underestimated.</p> <p>With European ambitions on one side and a desire for stability on the other, this Serie A clash promises a tactical and closely fought battle at the Gewiss Stadium.</p> <p>A 4-2-3-1 formation with Mateo Pellegrino in attack is expected against La Dea on Sunday.</p>