Value Assessment
Home Win
1.69
47% pred
-12.0%
Draw
3.69
28% pred
+1.1%
Away Win
5.23
25% pred
+5.5%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.94
46%
BTTS No
1.83
50%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
5.23
+5.5% edge
25% probability
Expected value: +0.29 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
74%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Athletic Club in position 32 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactRotation Risk
Atalanta has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactRotation Risk
Athletic Club has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
Athletic Club in position 32 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMatch Normality
65%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 21 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Gewiss Stadium
(Bergamo)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 7
Coaches
Raffaele Palladino
Atalanta
Ernesto Valverde Tejedor
Athletic Club
Referee
Danny Desmond Makkelie
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Atalanta
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Cremonese
2-1
Cremonese
2-1
W
H
Juventus
3-0
Juventus
3-0
W
H
Parma
4-0
Parma
4-0
L
H
Athletic Club
2-3
Athletic Club
2-3
W
H
Torino
2-0
Torino
2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Cremonese
2-1
Cremonese
2-1
W
H
Juventus
3-0
Juventus
3-0
W
H
Parma
4-0
Parma
4-0
L
H
Athletic Club
2-3
Athletic Club
2-3
W
H
Torino
2-0
Torino
2-0
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
Como
0-0
Como
0-0
L
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
D
A
Pisa
1-1
Pisa
1-1
W
A
Bologna
2-0
Bologna
2-0
W
A
Genoa
1-0
Genoa
1-0
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Cremonese
2-1
Cremonese
2-1
W
H
Juventus
3-0
Juventus
3-0
D
A
Como
0-0
Como
0-0
L
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
W
H
Parma
4-0
Parma
4-0
Athletic Club
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 2.2 GA
W
A
Valencia
2-1
Valencia
2-1
L
A
Sevilla
1-2
Sevilla
1-2
W
A
Atalanta
3-2
Atalanta
3-2
L
A
Mallorca
2-3
Mallorca
2-3
W
A
Cultural Leonesa
4-3
Cultural Leonesa
4-3
1W 2D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Levante
4-2
Levante
4-2
D
H
Real Sociedad
1-1
Real Sociedad
1-1
L
H
Sporting CP
2-3
Sporting CP
2-3
L
H
Espanyol
1-2
Espanyol
1-2
D
H
Paris Saint Germain
0-0
Paris Saint Germain
0-0
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 2.2 GA
W
A
Valencia
2-1
Valencia
2-1
L
A
Sevilla
1-2
Sevilla
1-2
W
A
Atalanta
3-2
Atalanta
3-2
L
A
Mallorca
2-3
Mallorca
2-3
W
A
Cultural Leonesa
4-3
Cultural Leonesa
4-3
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
W
H
Levante
4-2
Levante
4-2
W
A
Valencia
2-1
Valencia
2-1
D
H
Real Sociedad
1-1
Real Sociedad
1-1
L
H
Sporting CP
2-3
Sporting CP
2-3
L
A
Sevilla
1-2
Sevilla
1-2
Sidelined Players
Atalanta
1 out
Charles De Ketelaere
injury
Athletic Club
5 out
Yeray Álvarez
suspended
Unai Egiluz
injury
Yeray Álvarez
suspended
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
injury
Beñat Prados
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Atalanta
0
0%
Draws
0
0%
Athletic Club
1
100%
Avg Goals
5.0
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%