Value Assessment
Home Win
2.25
56% pred
+11.3%
VALUE
Draw
3.36
23% pred
-6.5%
Away Win
3.18
21% pred
-10.5%
BTTS Yes
1.65
44%
BTTS No
2.18
44%
Key Insights
Title Race
Aston Villa in position 3, 7 points behind leader - competing for title
Medium impactRotation Risk
Aston Villa has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactTop Scorer
Brentford has Igor Thiago ranked #2 in league scoring (16 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Feb 1 2026
·
14:00
Venue
Villa Park
(Birmingham)
Competition
Premier League
·
24
Coaches
Unai Emery
Aston Villa
Keith Andrews
Brentford
Referee
Tim Robinson
Recent Form
Aston Villa
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Brentford
0-1
Brentford
0-1
W
H
Salzburg
3-2
Salzburg
3-2
L
H
Everton
0-1
Everton
0-1
W
H
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Nottingham Forest
3-1
W
H
Manchester United
2-1
Manchester United
2-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Brentford
0-1
Brentford
0-1
W
H
Salzburg
3-2
Salzburg
3-2
L
H
Everton
0-1
Everton
0-1
W
H
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Nottingham Forest
3-1
W
H
Manchester United
2-1
Manchester United
2-1
3W 1D 1L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Newcastle United
2-0
Newcastle United
2-0
W
A
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Fenerbahçe
1-0
W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
D
A
Crystal Palace
0-0
Crystal Palace
0-0
L
A
Arsenal
1-4
Arsenal
1-4
3W 0D 2L
1.2 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Brentford
0-1
Brentford
0-1
W
H
Salzburg
3-2
Salzburg
3-2
W
A
Newcastle United
2-0
Newcastle United
2-0
W
A
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Fenerbahçe
1-0
L
H
Everton
0-1
Everton
0-1
Brentford
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Aston Villa
1-0
Aston Villa
1-0
L
A
Chelsea
0-2
Chelsea
0-2
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
W
A
Everton
4-2
Everton
4-2
W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Nottingham Forest
0-2
Nottingham Forest
0-2
W
H
Sunderland
3-0
Sunderland
3-0
D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
0-0
Tottenham Hotspur
0-0
W
H
AFC Bournemouth
4-1
AFC Bournemouth
4-1
D
H
Leeds United
1-1
Leeds United
1-1
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Aston Villa
1-0
Aston Villa
1-0
L
A
Chelsea
0-2
Chelsea
0-2
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
W
A
Everton
4-2
Everton
4-2
W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
3W 0D 2L
1.2 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Aston Villa
1-0
Aston Villa
1-0
L
H
Nottingham Forest
0-2
Nottingham Forest
0-2
L
A
Chelsea
0-2
Chelsea
0-2
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
W
H
Sunderland
3-0
Sunderland
3-0
Sidelined Players
Aston Villa
4 out
Youri Tielemans
injury
Ollie Watkins
injury
Ross Barkley
injury
Boubacar Kamara
injury
Brentford
3 out
Michael Kayode
injury
Fábio Carvalho
injury
Antoni Milambo
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Aston Villa
4
40%
Draws
3
30%
Brentford
3
30%
Avg Goals
2.7
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
45%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%