Arsenal vs Manchester United - Premier League Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.55

62% pred

-2.2%

Draw

4.38

22% pred

-0.8%

Away Win

5.61

16% pred

-2.1%

BTTS Yes 1.75 40%

BTTS No 2.04 53% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Title Race

Arsenal leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

European Race

Manchester United in position 4 - competing for Champions League qualification

High impact

Rotation Risk

Arsenal has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Arsenal matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Manchester United matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Manchester United has Bryan Mbeumo ranked #9 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 16:30

Venue

Emirates Stadium (London)

Competition

Premier League · 23

Coaches

Mikel Arteta

Arsenal

Michael Carrick

Manchester United

Referee

Craig Pawson

Recent Form

Arsenal

3W 1D 1L

2 GF · 1.2 GA

W H Chelsea

Chelsea 1-0

W H Kairat

Kairat 3-2

L H

Manchester United 2-3

D H

Liverpool 0-0

W H

Aston Villa 4-1

3W 1D 1L

2 GF · 1.2 GA

W H Chelsea

Chelsea 1-0

W H Kairat

Kairat 3-2

L H

Manchester United 2-3

D H

Liverpool 0-0

W H

Aston Villa 4-1

4W 1D 0L

2.8 GF · 0.8 GA

W A

Leeds United 4-0

W A Inter

Inter 3-1

D A

Nottingham Forest 0-0

W A Chelsea

Chelsea 3-2

W A

Portsmouth 4-1

4W 0D 1L

2.6 GF · 1.2 GA

W H Chelsea

Chelsea 1-0

W A

Leeds United 4-0

W H Kairat

Kairat 3-2

L H

Manchester United 2-3

W A Inter

Inter 3-1

Manchester United

2W 2D 1L

2.2 GF · 1.6 GA

W A Arsenal

Arsenal 3-2

D A Burnley

Burnley 2-2

D A

Leeds United 1-1

L A

Aston Villa 1-2

W A

Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-1

3W 1D 1L

1.6 GF · 1 GA

W H Fulham

Fulham 3-2

W H

Manchester City 2-0

L H

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2

D H

Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1

W H

Newcastle United 1-0

2W 2D 1L

2.2 GF · 1.6 GA

W A Arsenal

Arsenal 3-2

D A Burnley

Burnley 2-2

D A

Leeds United 1-1

L A

Aston Villa 1-2

W A

Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-1

3W 1D 1L

2.2 GF · 1.6 GA

W H Fulham

Fulham 3-2

W A Arsenal

Arsenal 3-2

W H

Manchester City 2-0

L H

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2

D A Burnley

Burnley 2-2

Sidelined Players

Arsenal 1 out

Max Dowman

injury

Manchester United 2 out

Matthijs de Ligt

injury

Patrick Dorgu

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Arsenal

6

60%

Draws

2

20%

Manchester United

2

20%

Avg Goals

3.0

BTTS

70%

League Signals

Predictability

45%

LOW

Home Bias

+5%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.9

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

23%

BTTS

54%

Over 2.5

56%

Final Words

Arsenal enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Historically, Arsenal have dominated this fixture.