Just Football Predictions

Arsenal vs Kairat

Full Time
Champions League Emirates Stadium
Arsenal

Arsenal

3
-
2
Kairat

Kairat

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.04
76% pred
-20.3%
Draw
17.24
18% pred
+12.2%
VALUE
Away Win
39.26
6% pred
+3.6%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 2.86 26%
BTTS No 1.39 68%

Key Insights

Title Race

Arsenal

Arsenal leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

Kairat

Kairat in position 36 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

Arsenal

Arsenal has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Kairat

Kairat in position 36 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Kairat

Kairat on 5-game losing streak - crisis form

High impact

Away Struggles

Kairat

Kairat winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Arsenal

Arsenal matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Arsenal

Arsenal has Gabriel Martinelli ranked #7 in league scoring (5 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 75.9% home win vs 96.2% market consensus - lower probability, 20.3% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Emirates Stadium (London)
Competition
Champions League · League Stage , 8
Coaches
Mikel Arteta
Mikel Arteta
Arsenal
Rafael Urazbakhtin
Rafael Urazbakhtin
Kairat
Referee
Urs Schnyder Urs Schnyder

Recent Form

Arsenal Arsenal
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Chelsea Chelsea 1-0
W H Kairat Kairat 3-2
L H Manchester United Manchester United 2-3
D H Liverpool Liverpool 0-0
W H Aston Villa Aston Villa 4-1
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Chelsea Chelsea 1-0
W H Kairat Kairat 3-2
L H Manchester United Manchester United 2-3
D H Liverpool Liverpool 0-0
W H Aston Villa Aston Villa 4-1
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Leeds United Leeds United 4-0
W A Inter Inter 3-1
D A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-0
W A Chelsea Chelsea 3-2
W A Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-1
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Chelsea Chelsea 1-0
W A Leeds United Leeds United 4-0
W H Kairat Kairat 3-2
L H Manchester United Manchester United 2-3
W A Inter Inter 3-1
Kairat Kairat
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Arsenal Arsenal 2-3
L A FC København FC København 2-3
L A Inter Inter 1-2
L A Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-4
D A Celtic Celtic 0-0
0W 2D 3L
0.2 GF · 2 GA
L H Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-4
L H Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 0-1
D H Pafos FC Pafos FC 0-0
L H Real Madrid Real Madrid 0-5
D H Celtic Celtic 0-0
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Arsenal Arsenal 2-3
L A FC København FC København 2-3
L A Inter Inter 1-2
L A Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-4
D A Celtic Celtic 0-0
0W 0D 5L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
L A Arsenal Arsenal 2-3
L H Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-4
L H Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 0-1
L A FC København FC København 2-3
L A Inter Inter 1-2

Sidelined Players

Arsenal Arsenal 1 out
Max Dowman
Max Dowman
injury
Kairat Kairat 2 out
João Paulo
João Paulo
injury
Élder Santana
Élder Santana
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 1)

Arsenal
1
100%
Draws
0
0%
Kairat
0
0%
Avg Goals
5.0
BTTS
100%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%

Final Words

Arsenal enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Kairat have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.