Value Assessment
Home Win
9.55
16% pred
+5.0%
VALUE
Draw
5.00
21% pred
+0.7%
Away Win
1.32
64% pred
-11.9%
BTTS Yes
2.30
48%
VALUE
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
9.55
+5.0% edge
16% probability
Expected value: +0.48 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
70%
Match Info
Kickoff
Mon, Dec 22 2025
·
18:45
Venue
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
(Alverca do Ribatejo)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
15
Coaches
Custódio André Gune
Alverca
Francesco Farioli
Porto
Referee
Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Alverca
3W 1D 1L
1 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Estrela Amadora
1-1
Estrela Amadora
1-1
W
H
Moreirense
2-1
Moreirense
2-1
W
H
Famalicão
1-0
Famalicão
1-0
L
H
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
W
H
Nacional
1-0
Nacional
1-0
3W 1D 1L
1 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Estrela Amadora
1-1
Estrela Amadora
1-1
W
H
Moreirense
2-1
Moreirense
2-1
W
H
Famalicão
1-0
Famalicão
1-0
L
H
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
W
H
Nacional
1-0
Nacional
1-0
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
L
A
Benfica
1-2
Benfica
1-2
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-5
Sporting Braga
0-5
L
A
Estoril
1-4
Estoril
1-4
L
A
Arouca
0-1
Arouca
0-1
W
A
Casa Pia
2-0
Casa Pia
2-0
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Benfica
1-2
Benfica
1-2
D
H
Estrela Amadora
1-1
Estrela Amadora
1-1
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-5
Sporting Braga
0-5
W
H
Moreirense
2-1
Moreirense
2-1
W
H
Famalicão
1-0
Famalicão
1-0
Porto
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
D
A
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
W
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-0
Vitória Guimarães
1-0
W
A
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
A
Alverca
3-0
Alverca
3-0
4W 1D 0L
2.4 GF · 0.6 GA
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
W
H
Rangers
3-1
Rangers
3-1
W
H
Gil Vicente
3-0
Gil Vicente
3-0
W
H
AVS
2-0
AVS
2-0
W
H
Estrela Amadora
3-1
Estrela Amadora
3-1
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
D
A
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
W
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-0
Vitória Guimarães
1-0
W
A
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
A
Alverca
3-0
Alverca
3-0
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
L
A
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
W
H
Rangers
3-1
Rangers
3-1
W
H
Gil Vicente
3-0
Gil Vicente
3-0
D
A
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
Sidelined Players
Alverca
0 out
No reported absences
Porto
4 out
Iván Marcano
injury
Luuk de Jong
injury
Nehuén Pérez
injury
Gabri Veiga
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Alverca
0
0%
Draws
0
0%
Porto
1
100%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
0%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%