Value Assessment
Home Win
1.62
49% pred
-12.9%
Draw
4.14
34% pred
+10.3%
VALUE
Away Win
4.86
17% pred
-3.9%
BTTS Yes
1.56
49%
BTTS No
2.34
46%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
4.14
+10.3% edge
34% probability
Expected value: +0.43 units per bet
Confidence
Low
59%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Ajax has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactStreak Watch
Ajax unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactStreak Watch
Go Ahead Eagles without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results
High impactAway Struggles
Go Ahead Eagles winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record
Medium impactHigh Scoring
Go Ahead Eagles involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026
·
15:30
Venue
Johan Cruijff Arena
(Amsterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
19
Coaches
Fred Grim
Ajax
Melvin Boel
Go Ahead Eagles
Referee
Serdar Gözübüyük
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Ajax
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
W
H
Feyenoord
2-0
Feyenoord
2-0
W
H
FC Groningen
2-0
FC Groningen
2-0
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
W
H
Feyenoord
2-0
Feyenoord
2-0
W
H
FC Groningen
2-0
FC Groningen
2-0
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
W
A
Telstar
3-2
Telstar
3-2
D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
Go Ahead Eagles
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
D
A
FC Volendam
1-1
FC Volendam
1-1
L
A
Nice
1-3
Nice
1-3
D
A
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
L
A
FC Twente
0-2
FC Twente
0-2
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
0W 5D 0L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Telstar
1-1
Telstar
1-1
D
H
Sporting Braga
0-0
Sporting Braga
0-0
D
H
Fortuna Sittard
2-2
Fortuna Sittard
2-2
D
H
FC Groningen
1-1
FC Groningen
1-1
D
H
FC Utrecht
2-2
FC Utrecht
2-2
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
D
A
FC Volendam
1-1
FC Volendam
1-1
L
A
Nice
1-3
Nice
1-3
D
A
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
L
A
FC Twente
0-2
FC Twente
0-2
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
0W 4D 1L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Telstar
1-1
Telstar
1-1
D
A
FC Volendam
1-1
FC Volendam
1-1
D
H
Sporting Braga
0-0
Sporting Braga
0-0
L
A
Nice
1-3
Nice
1-3
D
A
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
Sidelined Players
Ajax
2 out
Maarten Paes
suspended
Maher Carrizo
suspended
Go Ahead Eagles
6 out
Robbin Weijenberg
injury
Jamal Amofa
suspended
Thibo Baeten
suspended
Søren Tengstedt
injury
Gerrit Nauber
injury
+1 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Ajax
2
20%
Draws
7
70%
Go Ahead Eagles
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
Go Ahead Eagles have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.