Value Assessment
Home Win
1.30
51% pred
-25.4%
Draw
5.72
26% pred
+8.3%
VALUE
Away Win
8.10
23% pred
+10.4%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.60
53%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
8.10
+10.4% edge
23% probability
Expected value: +0.84 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
68%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 22 2025
·
17:45
Venue
Johan Cruijff Arena
(Amsterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
13
Coaches
Fred Grim
Ajax
Ruben den Uil
Excelsior
Referee
Joey Kooij
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Ajax
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
W
H
Feyenoord
2-0
Feyenoord
2-0
W
H
FC Groningen
2-0
FC Groningen
2-0
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
W
H
Feyenoord
2-0
Feyenoord
2-0
W
H
FC Groningen
2-0
FC Groningen
2-0
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
W
A
Telstar
3-2
Telstar
3-2
D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
Excelsior
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
W
A
Ajax
2-1
Ajax
2-1
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
L
H
FC Groningen
0-2
FC Groningen
0-2
W
H
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
W
A
Ajax
2-1
Ajax
2-1
1W 4D 0L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
Sidelined Players
Ajax
2 out
Maarten Paes
suspended
Maher Carrizo
suspended
Excelsior
1 out
Zach Booth
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Ajax
6
60%
Draws
3
30%
Excelsior
1
10%
Avg Goals
5.1
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
Excelsior have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Ajax have dominated this fixture.