Value Assessment
Home Win
1.50
51% pred
-16.0%
Draw
4.41
20% pred
-2.8%
Away Win
6.15
29% pred
+13.2%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.77
51%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
6.15
+13.2% edge
29% probability
Expected value: +0.81 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
71%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Dec 20 2025
·
15:00
Venue
Vitality Stadium
(Bournemouth)
Competition
Premier League
·
17
Coaches
Andoni Iraola
AFC Bournemouth
Scott Parker
Burnley
Referee
Chris Kavanagh
Related Coverage
Recent Form
AFC Bournemouth
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
Aston Villa
1-1
Aston Villa
1-1
W
H
Liverpool
3-2
Liverpool
3-2
W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3-2
Tottenham Hotspur
3-2
L
H
Arsenal
2-3
Arsenal
2-3
D
H
Burnley
1-1
Burnley
1-1
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
Aston Villa
1-1
Aston Villa
1-1
W
H
Liverpool
3-2
Liverpool
3-2
W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3-2
Tottenham Hotspur
3-2
L
H
Arsenal
2-3
Arsenal
2-3
D
H
Burnley
1-1
Burnley
1-1
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Everton
2-1
Everton
2-1
W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
D
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
D
A
Newcastle United
3-3
Newcastle United
3-3
D
A
Chelsea
2-2
Chelsea
2-2
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Everton
2-1
Everton
2-1
D
H
Aston Villa
1-1
Aston Villa
1-1
W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
W
H
Liverpool
3-2
Liverpool
3-2
D
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
Burnley
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
L
A
Newcastle United
1-2
Newcastle United
1-2
1W 2D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
L
H
West Ham United
0-2
West Ham United
0-2
D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
W
H
Millwall
5-1
Millwall
5-1
D
H
Manchester United
2-2
Manchester United
2-2
L
H
Newcastle United
1-3
Newcastle United
1-3
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
L
A
Newcastle United
1-2
Newcastle United
1-2
1W 2D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
West Ham United
0-2
West Ham United
0-2
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
W
H
Millwall
5-1
Millwall
5-1
Sidelined Players
AFC Bournemouth
9 out
Luis Sinisterra
injury
James Hill
injury
Tyler Adams
injury
Ben Gannon-Doak
injury
Julio Soler
injury
+4 more
Burnley
4 out
Zeki Amdouni
injury
Manuel Benson
injury
Mike Tresor
injury
Josh Cullen
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
AFC Bournemouth
4
40%
Draws
1
10%
Burnley
5
50%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Burnley have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.