Sunday, 28 December 2025
Predictions with probability and confidence scores
15:30
Liga Portugal
Casa Pia
vs
Vitória Guimarães
1
24.3%
70% trust
X
30.5%
70% trust
2
45.2%
72% trust
BTTS
47.6%
66% trust
15:30
Liga Portugal
Arouca
vs
Gil Vicente
1
29.4%
70% trust
X
36.5%
72% trust
2
34.1%
75% trust
BTTS
41%
66% trust
18:00
Liga Portugal
Sporting Braga
vs
Benfica
1
29.4%
70% trust
X
24.1%
72% trust
2
46.5%
70% trust
BTTS
50%
66% trust
20:30
Liga Portugal
Sporting CP
vs
Rio Ave
1
71%
72% trust
X
21.6%
70% trust
2
7.4%
72% trust
BTTS
36.2%
66% trust
The Shape of Primeira Liga
The Primeira Liga showcases technical football with a focus on player development. The league is dominated by three historic clubs, but competitive balance exists throughout. Matches blend possession-based approaches with direct play. Portuguese football values technique and creativity, producing patterns that reward careful analysis of form and tactical matchups.
Primeira Liga Identity
Statistical markers from past 5 seasons
Home Win
41.4%
Home advantage
Draw
24.4%
Stalemates
Away Win
34.2%
Against the odds
Over 2.5
49%
High-scoring
Goals Per Match
2.6
Attacking patterns
BTTS
48.8%
Both teams score
Clean Sheets
6.9%
Shut outs
Scoring Minutes
0-15'
12%
15-30'
14.1%
30-45'
19.1%
45-60'
15.7%
60-75'
15.2%
75-90'
24%
Cards
5.4
+0.2 red
Predictability
54.0%
Pattern confidence
Blanks
6.9%
Failed to score
Corners
9.4
Per match
Primeira Liga Standings
Current league table
| POS | TEAM | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
POR
Porto
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 4 | +32 | 49 |
| 2 |
SCP
Sporting CP
|
17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 9 | +38 | 42 |
| 3 |
SLB
Benfica
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 36 | 11 | +25 | 39 |
| 4 |
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
|
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 12 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 |
SBR
Sporting Braga
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 27 |
| 6 |
MOE
Moreirense
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | +0 | 27 |
| 7 |
VDG
Vitória Guimarães
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 |
Famalicão
Famalicão
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 23 |
| 9 |
ETR
Estoril
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 |
RIO
Rio Ave
|
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 |
Alverca
Alverca
|
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 |
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 |
Nacional
Nacional
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 17 |
| 14 |
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 14 |
| 16 |
Arouca
Arouca
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 14 |
| 17 |
TND
Tondela
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 12 |
| 18 |
AVS
AVS
|
17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 4 |