Value Assessment
Home Win
1.86
50% pred
-3.7%
Draw
3.65
26% pred
-0.9%
Away Win
3.93
23% pred
-2.0%
BTTS Yes
1.70
39%
BTTS No
2.07
51%
Key Insights
Dead Rubber
Both teams safe in mid-table with nothing to play for - reduced intensity expected
Medium impactStreak Watch
Watford without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results
High impactTop Scorer
Southampton has Adam Armstrong ranked #5 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
60%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026
·
12:31
Venue
St. Mary's Stadium
(Southampton)
Competition
Championship
·
31
Coaches
William Still
Southampton
Javier Gracia Carlos
Watford
Referee
Elliot Bell
Recent Form
Southampton
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
D
H
Millwall
0-0
Millwall
0-0
D
H
Coventry City
1-1
Coventry City
1-1
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3-2
West Bromwich Albion
3-2
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
D
H
Millwall
0-0
Millwall
0-0
D
H
Coventry City
1-1
Coventry City
1-1
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3-2
West Bromwich Albion
3-2
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Stoke City
2-0
Stoke City
2-0
D
A
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
W
A
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
L
A
Middlesbrough
0-4
Middlesbrough
0-4
D
A
Birmingham City
1-1
Birmingham City
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Stoke City
2-0
Stoke City
2-0
D
A
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
W
A
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
Watford
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Hull City
0-0
Hull City
0-0
D
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
L
A
Bristol City
1-5
Bristol City
1-5
W
A
Norwich City
1-0
Norwich City
1-0
W
A
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Swansea City
0-2
Swansea City
0-2
D
H
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
L
H
Millwall
0-2
Millwall
0-2
W
H
Birmingham City
3-0
Birmingham City
3-0
W
H
Stoke City
1-0
Stoke City
1-0
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Hull City
0-0
Hull City
0-0
D
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
L
A
Bristol City
1-5
Bristol City
1-5
W
A
Norwich City
1-0
Norwich City
1-0
W
A
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
Hull City
0-0
Hull City
0-0
L
H
Swansea City
0-2
Swansea City
0-2
D
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
D
H
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
L
H
Millwall
0-2
Millwall
0-2
Sidelined Players
Southampton
5 out
Jack Stephens
injury
Will Smallbone
injury
Cyle Larin
injury
Mads Roerslev
injury
Kamaldeen Sulemana
injury
Watford
0 out
No reported absences
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Southampton
5
50%
Draws
4
40%
Watford
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.9
BTTS
80%
League Signals
Predictability
48%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Watford have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5. Historically, Southampton have dominated this fixture.