NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Almelo - Eredivisie Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.41

62% pred

-8.9%

Draw

4.97

21% pred

+1.2%

Away Win

6.17

17% pred

+0.5%

BTTS Yes 1.52 46%

BTTS No 2.39 43%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Heracles Almelo in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Heracles Almelo in position 16 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

NEC Nijmegen unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

High Scoring

NEC Nijmegen involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

NEC Nijmegen matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 8 of last 8 matches (100%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

NEC Nijmegen has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Heracles Almelo has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Heracles Almelo has Jizz Hornkamp ranked #7 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 45.5% BTTS vs 65.8% market consensus - lower probability, 20.3% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 15:30

Venue

Sportpark De Weeren (Amsterdam)

Competition

Eredivisie · 22

Coaches

Dick Schreuder

NEC Nijmegen

Ernest Faber

Heracles Almelo

Referee

Joey Kooij

Recent Form

NEC Nijmegen

3W 2D 0L

2.4 GF · 1.4 GA

W H

PEC Zwolle 2-1

D H Ajax

Ajax 2-2

W H

Sparta Rotterdam 3-1

W H

FC Groningen 2-0

D H

FC Twente 3-3

3W 2D 0L

2.4 GF · 1.4 GA

W H

PEC Zwolle 2-1

D H Ajax

Ajax 2-2

W H

Sparta Rotterdam 3-1

W H

FC Groningen 2-0

D H

FC Twente 3-3

4W 1D 0L

3.2 GF · 2 GA

W A

AZ 3-1

W A

NAC Breda 4-3

D A Telstar

Telstar 2-2

W A

FC Volendam 3-2

W A

Feyenoord 4-2

3W 2D 0L

2.6 GF · 1.8 GA

W A

AZ 3-1

W H

PEC Zwolle 2-1

W A

NAC Breda 4-3

D H Ajax

Ajax 2-2

D A Telstar

Telstar 2-2

Heracles Almelo

1W 1D 3L

1.6 GF · 2.4 GA

L A

Feyenoord 2-4

L A

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2

L A PSV

PSV 3-4

D A

Fortuna Sittard 1-1

W A

Excelsior 2-1

2W 1D 2L

1.4 GF · 1.8 GA

W H

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

L H

FC Twente 0-2

L H

SC Heerenveen 0-3

D H Telstar

Telstar 1-1

W H

Go Ahead Eagles 4-2

1W 1D 3L

1.6 GF · 2.4 GA

L A

Feyenoord 2-4

L A

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2

L A PSV

PSV 3-4

D A

Fortuna Sittard 1-1

W A

Excelsior 2-1

1W 0D 4L

0.8 GF · 2.4 GA

W H

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

L A

Feyenoord 2-4

L H

FC Twente 0-2

L A

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2

L H

SC Heerenveen 0-3

Sidelined Players

NEC Nijmegen 3 out

Bryan Linssen

injury

Bryan Linssen

injury

Bram Nuytinck

injury

Heracles Almelo 2 out

Jeff Reine-Adélaïde

injury

Sem Scheperman

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

NEC Nijmegen

6

60%

Draws

1

10%

Heracles Almelo

3

30%

Avg Goals

2.6

BTTS

60%

League Signals

Predictability

53%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+8%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

3.0

HIGH

Draw Rate

24%

BTTS

55%

Over 2.5

58%

Final Words

Heracles Almelo have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.