Value Assessment
Home Win
1.78
45% pred
-10.8%
Draw
3.76
27% pred
+0.8%
Away Win
4.11
27% pred
+2.9%
BTTS Yes
1.63
44%
BTTS No
2.18
45%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
NAC Breda in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactMust Win
NAC Breda in position 17 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation
High impactStreak Watch
NAC Breda without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results
High impactStreak Watch
Excelsior without a win in 5 games (4 draws, 1 losses) - struggling for results
High impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Fri, Feb 6 2026
·
19:00
Venue
Rat Verlegh Stadion
(Breda)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
22
Coaches
Carl Hoefkens
NAC Breda
Ruben den Uil
Excelsior
Referee
Serdar Gözübüyük
Recent Form
NAC Breda
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
FC Twente
2-2
FC Twente
2-2
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
L
H
Telstar
0-1
Telstar
0-1
D
H
FC Utrecht
1-1
FC Utrecht
1-1
L
H
PSV
0-1
PSV
0-1
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
FC Twente
2-2
FC Twente
2-2
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
L
H
Telstar
0-1
Telstar
0-1
D
H
FC Utrecht
1-1
FC Utrecht
1-1
L
H
PSV
0-1
PSV
0-1
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
PSV
2-2
PSV
2-2
D
A
FC Groningen
0-0
FC Groningen
0-0
L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1
L
A
Excelsior
0-1
Excelsior
0-1
L
A
FC Volendam
1-2
FC Volendam
1-2
0W 3D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
FC Twente
2-2
FC Twente
2-2
D
A
PSV
2-2
PSV
2-2
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
D
A
FC Groningen
0-0
FC Groningen
0-0
L
H
Telstar
0-1
Telstar
0-1
Excelsior
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
W
A
Ajax
2-1
Ajax
2-1
D
A
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
L
H
FC Groningen
0-2
FC Groningen
0-2
W
H
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
W
A
Ajax
2-1
Ajax
2-1
D
A
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
0W 4D 1L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
Sidelined Players
NAC Breda
1 out
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
injury
Excelsior
1 out
Zach Booth
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
NAC Breda
3
30%
Draws
3
30%
Excelsior
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.0
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
NAC Breda have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Excelsior have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.