Manchester City vs Aston Villa prediction

1

62%

Manchester City

1.40

X

21%

Draw

5.20

2

17%

Aston Villa

6.60

Predictability

-1.10

Log loss

Medium

Median odds aggregated from available pre-match books.

Why This Match Matters

Head-to-head

The match data flags a head-to-head pattern for this fixture.

Both

Count: 20

All Matches

Head-to-head

The match data flags a head-to-head pattern for this fixture.

Both

Count: 19

League Matches

Head-to-head

The match data flags a head-to-head pattern for this fixture.

Both

Streak: 6
Matches: 6

All Matches

Head-to-head

The match data flags a head-to-head pattern for this fixture.

Both

Streak: 6
Matches: 6

League Matches

Head-to-head

The match data flags a head-to-head pattern for this fixture.

Both

: 1
2: 1
1: 2
1 1: 1

All Matches

Head-to-head

The match data flags a head-to-head pattern for this fixture.

Both

: 1
2: 1
1: 2
1 1: 1

League Matches

Model Edge

Marathonbet is offering 1.48 on 1, while our model makes the fair number 1.45. Suggested stake: 1.38 units.

Bet

1

Odd

1.48

Fair

1.45

Stake

1.38

Book

Marathonbet

League Snapshot

Home

42%

Draw

26%

Away

32%

Goals/game

2.8

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS

57%

Goalless

6%

Peak Scoring Window

75-90 (24.2%)

Match Context

Etihad Stadium

Manchester

Capacity 53,400

Surface Grass

		GP	P	GD
2	Manchester City	38	78	+42
4	Aston Villa	38	65	+7

Team Form

Manchester City

D

AFC Bournemouth

1-1

May 19

W

Crystal Palace

3-0

May 13

W

Brentford

3-0

May 9

D

Everton

3-3

May 4

W

Burnley

1-0

Apr 22

Aston Villa

W

Liverpool

4-2

May 15

D

Burnley

2-2

May 10

L

Tottenham Hotspur

1-2

May 3

L

Fulham

0-1

Apr 25

W

Sunderland

4-3

Apr 19

Head to Head

Manchester City

25%

Draw

0%

Aston Villa

75%

Avg goals

2.5

BTTS

75%

Based on 4 finished meetings.