Postmatch editorial
Aston Villa upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Manchester City struck first through Antoine Semenyo 23', but Aston Villa recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Aston Villa led Shots on target 3-5. Manchester City also shaded Corners 9-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Manchester City the favourite at 71.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Manchester City
71.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Aston VillaManchester City
Aston Villa
3
5
Corners
Manchester CityManchester City
Aston Villa
9
4
Total shots
Manchester CityManchester City
Aston Villa
16
12