Value Assessment
Home Win
2.21
38% pred
-7.4%
Draw
3.30
28% pred
-2.0%
Away Win
3.30
34% pred
+3.6%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes
1.80
43%
BTTS No
1.94
47%
Key Insights
Top Scorer
Leeds United has Dominic Calvert-Lewin ranked #6 in league scoring (9 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
80%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Fri, Feb 6 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Elland Road
(Leeds)
Competition
Premier League
·
25
Coaches
Daniel Farke
Leeds United
Sean Dyche
Nottingham Forest
Referee
Peter Bankes
Recent Form
Leeds United
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
D
H
Manchester United
1-1
Manchester United
1-1
W
H
Crystal Palace
4-1
Crystal Palace
4-1
D
H
Liverpool
3-3
Liverpool
3-3
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
D
H
Manchester United
1-1
Manchester United
1-1
W
H
Crystal Palace
4-1
Crystal Palace
4-1
D
H
Liverpool
3-3
Liverpool
3-3
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
L
A
Newcastle United
3-4
Newcastle United
3-4
D
A
Liverpool
0-0
Liverpool
0-0
D
A
Sunderland
1-1
Sunderland
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
L
A
Newcastle United
3-4
Newcastle United
3-4
Nottingham Forest
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Brentford
2-0
Brentford
2-0
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
D
A
Wrexham
3-3
Wrexham
3-3
W
A
West Ham United
2-1
West Ham United
2-1
L
A
Aston Villa
1-3
Aston Villa
1-3
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Crystal Palace
1-1
Crystal Palace
1-1
W
H
Ferencvárosi
4-0
Ferencvárosi
4-0
D
H
Arsenal
0-0
Arsenal
0-0
L
H
Everton
0-2
Everton
0-2
L
H
Manchester City
1-2
Manchester City
1-2
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Brentford
2-0
Brentford
2-0
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
D
A
Wrexham
3-3
Wrexham
3-3
W
A
West Ham United
2-1
West Ham United
2-1
L
A
Aston Villa
1-3
Aston Villa
1-3
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.4 GA
D
H
Crystal Palace
1-1
Crystal Palace
1-1
W
H
Ferencvárosi
4-0
Ferencvárosi
4-0
W
A
Brentford
2-0
Brentford
2-0
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
D
H
Arsenal
0-0
Arsenal
0-0
Sidelined Players
Leeds United
1 out
Daniel James
injury
Nottingham Forest
3 out
Eric da Silva Moreira
injury
John Victor
injury
Chris Wood
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Leeds United
3
30%
Draws
3
30%
Nottingham Forest
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
45%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%