Italy vs Norway prediction

1

47%

Italy

2.16

X

24%

Draw

3.60

2

29%

Norway

3.10

Predictability

-

Log loss

Median odds aggregated from available pre-match books.

Why This Match Matters

Head-to-head

The match data flags a head-to-head pattern for this fixture.

Both

Count: 5

All Matches

Head-to-head

The match data flags a head-to-head pattern for this fixture.

Both

Streak: 2
Matches: 2

All Matches

Head-to-head

The match data flags a head-to-head pattern for this fixture.

Both

: 1
3: 1
2: 1
2 1: 2

All Matches

Head-to-head

Norway has 1 win in their matches against Italy

Away

All Count: 1
All Percentage: 20%
Home Count: 1
Home Percentage: 100%

All Matches

Head-to-head

Italy has 3 wins in their matches against Norway

Home

All Count: 3
All Percentage: 60%
Home Count: 2
Home Percentage: 66.7%

All Matches

Head-to-head

Norway has 3 losses in their matches against Italy

Away

All Count: 3
All Percentage: 60%
Home Count: 1
Home Percentage: 33.3%

All Matches

Model Edge

Betfair is offering 4.00 on 2, while our model makes the fair number 3.73. Suggested stake: 0.53 units.

Bet

2

Odd

4.00

Fair

3.73

Stake

0.53

Book

Betfair

League Snapshot

Home

45%

Draw

20%

Away

35%

Goals/game

2.9

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS

41%

Goalless

6%

Peak Scoring Window

75-90 (23.3%)

Match Context

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Milano

Capacity 75,817

Surface Grass

		GP	P	GD
1	Norway	8	24	+32
2	Italy	8	18	+9

Team Form

Italy

D

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1-1

Mar 31

W

Northern Ireland

2-0

Mar 26

W

Moldova

2-0

Nov 13

W

Israel

3-0

Oct 14

W

Estonia

3-1

Oct 11

Norway

W

Estonia

4-1

Nov 13

W

Israel

5-0

Oct 11

W

Moldova

11-1

Sep 9

W

Estonia

1-0

Jun 9

W

Italy

3-0

Jun 6

Head to Head

Italy

25%

Draw

25%

Norway

50%

Avg goals

2.8

BTTS

50%

Based on 4 finished meetings.