Value Assessment
Home Win
1.82
44% pred
-11.3%
Draw
3.55
27% pred
-0.8%
Away Win
4.35
29% pred
+5.9%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.81
44%
BTTS No
1.95
46%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.35
+5.9% edge
29% probability
Expected value: +0.26 units per bet
Confidence
Low
56%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Fiorentina in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactMust Win
Fiorentina in position 18 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation
High impactBTTS Tendency
Fiorentina matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactUpset Alert
Fiorentina (position 18) is favorite despite being 5 places below Torino (position 13) - potential upset or market overreaction
Medium impactMatch Normality
95%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026
·
19:45
Venue
Stadio Artemio Franchi
(Firenze)
Competition
Serie A
·
24
Coaches
Paolo Vanoli
Fiorentina
Marco Baroni
Torino
Recent Form
Fiorentina
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Como
1-3
Como
1-3
L
H
Cagliari
1-2
Cagliari
1-2
D
H
AC Milan
1-1
AC Milan
1-1
W
H
Cremonese
1-0
Cremonese
1-0
W
H
Udinese
5-1
Udinese
5-1
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Como
1-3
Como
1-3
L
H
Cagliari
1-2
Cagliari
1-2
D
H
AC Milan
1-1
AC Milan
1-1
W
H
Cremonese
1-0
Cremonese
1-0
W
H
Udinese
5-1
Udinese
5-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Napoli
1-2
Napoli
1-2
W
A
Bologna
2-1
Bologna
2-1
D
A
Lazio
2-2
Lazio
2-2
L
A
Parma
0-1
Parma
0-1
L
A
Lausanne Sport
0-1
Lausanne Sport
0-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Napoli
1-2
Napoli
1-2
L
H
Como
1-3
Como
1-3
L
H
Cagliari
1-2
Cagliari
1-2
W
A
Bologna
2-1
Bologna
2-1
D
H
AC Milan
1-1
AC Milan
1-1
Torino
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Como
0-6
Como
0-6
W
A
Roma
3-2
Roma
3-2
L
A
Atalanta
0-2
Atalanta
0-2
W
A
Hellas Verona
3-0
Hellas Verona
3-0
W
A
Sassuolo
1-0
Sassuolo
1-0
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Lecce
1-0
Lecce
1-0
L
H
Roma
0-2
Roma
0-2
L
H
Udinese
1-2
Udinese
1-2
L
H
Cagliari
1-2
Cagliari
1-2
W
H
Cremonese
1-0
Cremonese
1-0
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Como
0-6
Como
0-6
W
A
Roma
3-2
Roma
3-2
L
A
Atalanta
0-2
Atalanta
0-2
W
A
Hellas Verona
3-0
Hellas Verona
3-0
W
A
Sassuolo
1-0
Sassuolo
1-0
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
W
H
Lecce
1-0
Lecce
1-0
L
A
Como
0-6
Como
0-6
L
H
Roma
0-2
Roma
0-2
W
A
Roma
3-2
Roma
3-2
L
A
Atalanta
0-2
Atalanta
0-2
Sidelined Players
Fiorentina
0 out
No reported absences
Torino
7 out
Ardian Ismajli
injury
Adam Masina
injury
Zakaria Aboukhlal
injury
Zanos Savva
injury
Zanos Savva
injury
+2 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Fiorentina
4
40%
Draws
4
40%
Torino
2
20%
Avg Goals
1.7
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%
Final Words
Fiorentina have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.