Value Assessment
Home Win
1.70
46% pred
-12.9%
Draw
3.81
28% pred
+1.8%
Away Win
4.57
26% pred
+4.2%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes
1.74
43%
BTTS No
2.01
46%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Tondela in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactMust Win
Tondela in position 17 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation
High impactHigh Scoring
Estoril involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactTop Scorer
Estoril has Yanis Begraoui ranked #3 in league scoring (15 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026
·
18:00
Venue
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
(Estoril)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
21
Coaches
Ian Cathro
Estoril
Cristiano Bacci
Tondela
Recent Form
Estoril
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
W
H
Alverca
4-1
Alverca
4-1
W
H
Sporting Braga
1-0
Sporting Braga
1-0
D
H
Moreirense
3-3
Moreirense
3-3
W
H
Arouca
4-3
Arouca
4-3
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
W
H
Alverca
4-1
Alverca
4-1
W
H
Sporting Braga
1-0
Sporting Braga
1-0
D
H
Moreirense
3-3
Moreirense
3-3
W
H
Arouca
4-3
Arouca
4-3
2W 0D 3L
2 GF · 2 GA
W
A
Santa Clara
4-2
Santa Clara
4-2
W
A
Estrela Amadora
5-0
Estrela Amadora
5-0
L
A
Benfica
1-3
Benfica
1-3
L
A
Famalicão
0-4
Famalicão
0-4
L
A
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
4W 0D 1L
3.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Santa Clara
4-2
Santa Clara
4-2
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
W
A
Estrela Amadora
5-0
Estrela Amadora
5-0
L
A
Benfica
1-3
Benfica
1-3
W
H
Alverca
4-1
Alverca
4-1
Tondela
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
L
A
Nacional
1-3
Nacional
1-3
W
A
Gil Vicente
1-0
Gil Vicente
1-0
D
A
AVS
2-2
AVS
2-2
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Benfica
0-0
Benfica
0-0
L
H
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
W
H
Arouca
3-1
Arouca
3-1
L
H
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
L
H
Porto
0-2
Porto
0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
L
A
Nacional
1-3
Nacional
1-3
W
A
Gil Vicente
1-0
Gil Vicente
1-0
D
A
AVS
2-2
AVS
2-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Benfica
0-0
Benfica
0-0
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
H
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
W
H
Arouca
3-1
Arouca
3-1
Sidelined Players
Estoril
1 out
Xeka
injury
Tondela
0 out
No reported absences
Head-to-Head (Last 9)
Estoril
8
89%
Draws
1
11%
Tondela
0
0%
Avg Goals
2.7
BTTS
44%
League Signals
Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Estoril enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Tondela have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Estoril have dominated this fixture.