Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion won after full-time.
2 - 1
FT
Nottingham Forest
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Brighton & Hove Albion delivered it
The final score was Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Nottingham Forest. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Diego Gómez put the first mark on the match 6', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Brighton & Hove Albion led Shots on target 7-4. Brighton & Hove Albion also shaded Possession 54%-46%.
Before kickoff, our model made Brighton & Hove Albion the likeliest result at 46.0%, while the median bookmaker line priced Brighton & Hove Albion at 47.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (50.3%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Brighton & Hove Albion
46.0%
Market result
Brighton & Hove Albion
47.6%
BTTS
Yes
50.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
7
4
Possession
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
54%
46%
Total shots
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
14
13
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.