Value Assessment
Home Win
2.24
35% pred
-9.4%
Draw
3.17
27% pred
-4.5%
Away Win
3.33
38% pred
+7.7%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.78
43%
BTTS No
1.94
47%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.33
+7.7% edge
38% probability
Expected value: +0.26 units per bet
Confidence
Low
56%
Key Insights
European Race
Lorient in position 9 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactStreak Watch
Lorient unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactTop Scorer
Brest has Romain Del Castillo ranked #9 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026
·
18:00
Venue
Stade Francis-Le Ble
(Brest)
Competition
Ligue 1
·
21
Coaches
Eric Roy
Brest
Olivier Pantaloni
Lorient
Referee
Gaël Angoula
Recent Form
Brest
3W 1D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Toulouse
0-2
Toulouse
0-2
W
H
Auxerre
2-0
Auxerre
2-0
W
H
Monaco
1-0
Monaco
1-0
W
H
Metz
3-2
Metz
3-2
D
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0-0
Olympique Lyonnais
0-0
3W 1D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Toulouse
0-2
Toulouse
0-2
W
H
Auxerre
2-0
Auxerre
2-0
W
H
Monaco
1-0
Monaco
1-0
W
H
Metz
3-2
Metz
3-2
D
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0-0
Olympique Lyonnais
0-0
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.2 GA
D
A
Nice
2-2
Nice
2-2
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
L
A
Rennes
1-3
Rennes
1-3
W
A
Strasbourg
2-1
Strasbourg
2-1
L
A
Olympique Marseille
0-3
Olympique Marseille
0-3
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Nice
2-2
Nice
2-2
L
H
Toulouse
0-2
Toulouse
0-2
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
Olympique Lyonnais
1-2
W
H
Auxerre
2-0
Auxerre
2-0
L
A
Rennes
1-3
Rennes
1-3
Lorient
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Rennes
2-0
Rennes
2-0
W
A
Monaco
3-1
Monaco
3-1
D
A
Strasbourg
0-0
Strasbourg
0-0
D
A
Nantes
1-1
Nantes
1-1
L
A
Lens
0-3
Lens
0-3
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
D
H
Metz
1-1
Metz
1-1
W
H
Olympique Lyonnais
1-0
Olympique Lyonnais
1-0
W
H
Nice
3-1
Nice
3-1
D
H
Toulouse
1-1
Toulouse
1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Rennes
2-0
Rennes
2-0
W
A
Monaco
3-1
Monaco
3-1
D
A
Strasbourg
0-0
Strasbourg
0-0
D
A
Nantes
1-1
Nantes
1-1
L
A
Lens
0-3
Lens
0-3
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
W
A
Rennes
2-0
Rennes
2-0
W
A
Monaco
3-1
Monaco
3-1
D
H
Metz
1-1
Metz
1-1
D
A
Strasbourg
0-0
Strasbourg
0-0
Sidelined Players
Brest
1 out
Mama Baldé
injury
Lorient
6 out
Darlin Yongwa
injury
Sambou Soumano
injury
Aiyegun Tosin
injury
Abdoulaye Faye
injury
Arthur Avom
injury
+1 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Brest
4
40%
Draws
1
10%
Lorient
5
50%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%
Final Words
Brest have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.