Birmingham City vs Leicester City - Championship Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.74

56% pred

-1.8%

Draw

3.72

26% pred

-0.6%

Away Win

4.43

18% pred

-4.5%

BTTS Yes 1.75 37%

BTTS No 2.00 54% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Dead Rubber

Both teams safe in mid-table with nothing to play for - reduced intensity expected

Medium impact

Must Win

Leicester City in position 16 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Birmingham City unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Birmingham City unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (4 wins, 4 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Leicester City matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 36.7% BTTS vs 57.1% market consensus - lower probability, 20.4% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

55%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 15:01

Venue

St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Competition

Championship · 31

Coaches

Chris Davies

Birmingham City

Martí Cifuentes Corvillo

Leicester City

Referee

John Busby

Recent Form

Birmingham City

1W 4D 0L

1.4 GF · 1.2 GA

D H

Stoke City 1-1

W H

Coventry City 3-2

D H

Southampton 1-1

D H

Derby County 1-1

D H

Charlton Athletic 1-1

1W 4D 0L

1.4 GF · 1.2 GA

D H

Stoke City 1-1

W H

Coventry City 3-2

D H

Southampton 1-1

D H

Derby County 1-1

D H

Charlton Athletic 1-1

3W 1D 1L

1.6 GF · 1.2 GA

W A

Oxford United 2-0

W A

Sheffield Wednesday 2-0

D A

Swansea City 1-1

W A

Cambridge United 3-2

L A Watford

Watford 0-3

3W 2D 0L

1.8 GF · 0.8 GA

W A

Oxford United 2-0

D H

Stoke City 1-1

W A

Sheffield Wednesday 2-0

D A

Swansea City 1-1

W A

Cambridge United 3-2

Leicester City

1W 1D 3L

1.2 GF · 2 GA

D A Wrexham

Wrexham 1-1

L A

Coventry City 1-2

W A

Cheltenham Town 2-0

L A

Sheffield United 1-3

L A

Queens Park Rangers 1-4

2W 0D 3L

1.2 GF · 1.6 GA

L H

Charlton Athletic 0-2

L H

Oxford United 1-2

W H

West Bromwich Albion 2-1

W H

Derby County 2-1

L H Watford

Watford 1-2

1W 1D 3L

1.2 GF · 2 GA

D A Wrexham

Wrexham 1-1

L A

Coventry City 1-2

W A

Cheltenham Town 2-0

L A

Sheffield United 1-3

L A

Queens Park Rangers 1-4

1W 1D 3L

1 GF · 1.4 GA

L H

Charlton Athletic 0-2

L H

Oxford United 1-2

D A Wrexham

Wrexham 1-1

L A

Coventry City 1-2

W A

Cheltenham Town 2-0

Sidelined Players

Birmingham City 2 out

Ethan Laird

injury

Ethan Laird

injury

Leicester City 3 out

Jamaal Lascelles

injury

Harry Winks

suspended

Hamza Choudhury

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Birmingham City

0

0%

Draws

2

20%

Leicester City

8

80%

Avg Goals

3.2

BTTS

70%

League Signals

Predictability

48%

LOW

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.5

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

26%

BTTS

49%

Over 2.5

46%

Final Words

Leicester City have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors Leicester City in recent meetings.