Just Football Predictions

Aberdeen vs Celtic

Premiership Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

vs
Celtic

Celtic

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
6.03
30% pred
+13.6%
VALUE
Draw
4.47
26% pred
+4.0%
MARGINAL
Away Win
1.46
43% pred
-25.0%
BTTS Yes 1.73 47%
BTTS No 2.02 41%

Key Insights

Title Race

Celtic

Celtic in position 2, 6 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Celtic

Celtic has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Celtic

Celtic unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Aberdeen

Aberdeen has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Celtic

Celtic has Benjamin Nygren ranked #2 in league scoring (12 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 43.5% away win vs 68.5% market consensus - lower probability, 25.0% gap

High impact

Match Normality

65%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Feb 4 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)
Competition
Premiership · 25
Coaches
Peter Leven
Peter Leven
Aberdeen
Martin O'Neill
Martin O'Neill
Celtic
Referee
Don Robertson Don Robertson

Recent Form

Aberdeen Aberdeen
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Livingston Livingston 6-2
L H Rangers Rangers 0-2
D H Dundee United Dundee United 1-1
W H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1
L H Strasbourg Strasbourg 0-1
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Livingston Livingston 6-2
L H Rangers Rangers 0-2
D H Dundee United Dundee United 1-1
W H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1
L H Strasbourg Strasbourg 0-1
0W 0D 5L
0.2 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-3
L A Rangers Rangers 0-2
L A Falkirk Falkirk 0-1
L A Hibernian Hibernian 0-2
L A Celtic Celtic 1-3
1W 0D 4L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
L A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-3
W H Livingston Livingston 6-2
L H Rangers Rangers 0-2
L A Rangers Rangers 0-2
L A Falkirk Falkirk 0-1
Celtic Celtic
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
W A Livingston Livingston 4-2
4W 0D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 2-0
W H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 4-2
W H Dundee United Dundee United 4-0
L H Rangers Rangers 1-3
W H Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-1
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
W A Livingston Livingston 4-2
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 2-0
W H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 4-2
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0

Sidelined Players

Aberdeen Aberdeen 0 out

No reported absences

Celtic Celtic 1 out
Luis Palma
Luis Palma
suspension

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Aberdeen
0
0%
Draws
2
20%
Celtic
8
80%
Avg Goals
4.0
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%

Final Words

Aberdeen have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Celtic in recent meetings.